Points
32Points expected by the market
41.27Gap
−9.27Yield
−49.5%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 3 | 4 | −1.26 | −41.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 22 | 22 | −6.35 | −48.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 9 | 6 | −1.66 | −55.2% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 3 | 4 | −1.26 | −41.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 13 | 9 | −7.73 | −80.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 1 | +0.08 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 13 | +1.38 | −1.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 8 | 5 | −1.74 | −49.6% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Saint-Étienne · Home9 Aug 2025 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.27 | −0.27 |
| M2 | Grenoble · Away15 Aug 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.38 | −0.65 |
| M3 | Rodez · Away22 Aug 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.37 | −1.02 |
| M4 | Clermont · Home29 Aug 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.65 | −1.67 |
| M5 | Boulogne · Away12 Sep 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.47 | −0.20 |
| M6 | Amiens · Home19 Sep 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.78 | −1.98 |
| M7 | Pau FC · Away23 Sep 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.16 | −3.13 |
| M8 | Montpellier · Home27 Sep 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.52 | −4.66 |
| M9 | Annecy · Away3 Oct 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.32 | −4.97 |
| M10 | Red Star · Home18 Oct 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.29 | −6.27 |
| M11 | Le Mans · Home28 Oct 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.27 | −6.54 |
| M12 | Guingamp · Away31 Oct 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.87 | −7.41 |
| M13 | Nancy · Away7 Nov 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +2.02 | −5.38 |
| M14 | Troyes · Home21 Nov 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.11 | −6.50 |
| M15 | Bastia · Away25 Nov 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.85 | −4.65 |
| M16 | Reims · Away8 Dec 2025 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.81 | −5.46 |
| M17 | Dunkerque · Home12 Dec 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.14 | −6.60 |
| M18 | Clermont · Away3 Jan 2026 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.30 | −7.91 |
| M19 | Bastia · Home16 Jan 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.45 | −9.36 |
| M20 | Amiens · Away23 Jan 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.31 | −9.67 |
| M21 | Pau FC · Home30 Jan 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.15 | −10.82 |
| M22 | Le Mans · Away7 Feb 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.14 | −10.69 |
| M23 | Annecy · Home13 Feb 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.22 | −10.91 |
| M24 | Saint-Étienne · Away21 Feb 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.68 | −11.59 |
| M25 | Nancy · Home27 Feb 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.42 | −12.01 |
| M26 | Guingamp · Home6 Mar 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.14 | −12.15 |
| M27 | Montpellier · Away13 Mar 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.93 | −13.07 |
| M28 | Grenoble · Home20 Mar 2026 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.59 | −11.49 |
| M29 | Red Star · Away3 Apr 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.15 | −11.33 |
| M30 | Reims · Home10 Apr 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.08 | −11.25 |
| M31 | Dunkerque · Away20 Apr 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.90 | −9.36 |
| M32 | Rodez · Home24 Apr 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.31 | −9.67 |
| M33 | Troyes · Away2 May 2026 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.77 | −10.44 |
| M34 | Boulogne · Home9 May 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.17 | −9.27 |
| Total | 32 | −9.27 | |||