Points
62Points expected by the market
49.45Gap
+12.55Yield
+12.5%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.72 | +33.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 11 | 24 | +4.90 | +20.1% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 19 | 30 | +4.68 | −1.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 5 | +2.26 | +68.3% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.72 | +33.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 7 | 16 | +3.54 | +29.9% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 14 | +1.57 | −16.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 4 | 8 | +1.35 | +3.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 16 | +3.11 | +11.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 5 | +2.26 | +68.3% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Guingamp · Away9 Aug 2025 | D 3-3 | 1 | +0.01 | +0.01 |
| M2 | Montpellier · Home18 Aug 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.43 | −1.43 |
| M3 | Bastia · Home22 Aug 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.66 | +0.24 |
| M4 | Reims · Away30 Aug 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.08 | −0.84 |
| M5 | Rodez · Home12 Sep 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.60 | −2.44 |
| M6 | Dunkerque · Away19 Sep 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.03 | −2.41 |
| M7 | Grenoble · Home23 Sep 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.28 | −1.13 |
| M8 | Clermont · Away26 Sep 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.35 | −1.48 |
| M9 | Troyes · Home3 Oct 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.21 | −1.69 |
| M10 | Saint-Étienne · Away18 Oct 2025 | W 3-2 | 3 | +2.22 | +0.54 |
| M11 | Boulogne · Home24 Oct 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.26 | +1.79 |
| M12 | Laval · Away28 Oct 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.42 | +1.37 |
| M13 | Nancy · Home31 Oct 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.33 | +2.70 |
| M14 | Red Star · Home8 Nov 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.47 | +2.22 |
| M15 | Pau FC · Away21 Nov 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.54 | +3.76 |
| M16 | Amiens · Home5 Dec 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.72 | +4.48 |
| M17 | Annecy · Away12 Dec 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.76 | +6.24 |
| M18 | Saint-Étienne · Home3 Jan 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.37 | +5.87 |
| M19 | Rodez · Away16 Jan 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.41 | +5.46 |
| M20 | Dunkerque · Home26 Jan 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.59 | +7.06 |
| M21 | Troyes · Away31 Jan 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.92 | +8.97 |
| M22 | Laval · Home7 Feb 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.84 | +8.14 |
| M23 | Montpellier · Away14 Feb 2026 | L 2-4 | 0 | −1.20 | +6.93 |
| M24 | Guingamp · Home23 Feb 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.32 | +6.61 |
| M25 | Red Star · Away28 Feb 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.16 | +6.44 |
| M26 | Annecy · Home7 Mar 2026 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.53 | +7.97 |
| M27 | Nancy · Away13 Mar 2026 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.51 | +9.48 |
| M28 | Amiens · Away20 Mar 2026 | W 4-3 | 3 | +1.33 | +10.81 |
| M29 | Pau FC · Home6 Apr 2026 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.10 | +11.91 |
| M30 | Boulogne · Away11 Apr 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.64 | +11.27 |
| M31 | Clermont · Home17 Apr 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.02 | +12.29 |
| M32 | Grenoble · Away25 Apr 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.78 | +11.51 |
| M33 | Reims · Home2 May 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.40 | +11.11 |
| M34 | Bastia · Away9 May 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.44 | +12.55 |
| Total | 62 | +12.55 | |||