Points
51Points expected by the market
50.78Gap
+0.22Yield
−6.0%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 14 | 25 | −0.05 | −7.1% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 19 | 25 | +0.21 | −0.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 1 | +0.06 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 11 | 20 | −0.20 | +0.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 8 | +0.06 | −21.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 3 | 5 | +0.15 | −35.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 13 | 17 | +0.14 | +9.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 1 | +0.06 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Red Star · Home9 Aug 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.81 | −0.81 |
| M2 | Le Mans · Away18 Aug 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.72 | +0.91 |
| M3 | Troyes · Away23 Aug 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.18 | −0.28 |
| M4 | Amiens · Home29 Aug 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.99 | −1.27 |
| M5 | Guingamp · Away15 Sep 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.40 | −2.66 |
| M6 | Bastia · Home20 Sep 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.32 | −1.35 |
| M7 | Boulogne · Home23 Sep 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −2.00 | −3.35 |
| M8 | Laval · Away27 Sep 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.82 | −1.53 |
| M9 | Saint-Étienne · Home4 Oct 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.08 | −2.61 |
| M10 | Dunkerque · Away18 Oct 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.87 | −0.74 |
| M11 | Nancy · Home25 Oct 2025 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.38 | +0.64 |
| M12 | Clermont · Away28 Oct 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.57 | +0.07 |
| M13 | Rodez · Home31 Oct 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.18 | +1.25 |
| M14 | Annecy · Home7 Nov 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.19 | +2.44 |
| M15 | Reims · Away24 Nov 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.10 | +1.33 |
| M16 | Pau FC · Home6 Dec 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.79 | −0.46 |
| M17 | Grenoble · Away13 Dec 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.62 | −1.07 |
| M18 | Dunkerque · Home5 Jan 2026 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.45 | −2.52 |
| M19 | Boulogne · Away16 Jan 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.50 | −4.03 |
| M20 | Bastia · Away23 Jan 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.65 | −2.38 |
| M21 | Guingamp · Home30 Jan 2026 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.54 | −0.84 |
| M22 | Saint-Étienne · Away7 Feb 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.08 | −1.92 |
| M23 | Le Mans · Home14 Feb 2026 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.51 | −0.41 |
| M24 | Rodez · Away20 Feb 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.43 | −1.84 |
| M25 | Reims · Home27 Feb 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.21 | −2.04 |
| M26 | Nancy · Away6 Mar 2026 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.58 | −0.46 |
| M27 | Laval · Home13 Mar 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.20 | +0.74 |
| M28 | Pau FC · Away20 Mar 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.47 | +0.27 |
| M29 | Troyes · Home4 Apr 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.25 | +0.01 |
| M30 | Annecy · Away10 Apr 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.33 | −0.31 |
| M31 | Grenoble · Home17 Apr 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.08 | +0.77 |
| M32 | Amiens · Away24 Apr 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.33 | +2.11 |
| M33 | Clermont · Home2 May 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.95 | +0.15 |
| M34 | Red Star · Away9 May 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.06 | +0.22 |
| Total | 51 | +0.22 | |||