Points
37Points expected by the market
45.08Gap
−8.08Yield
−34.5%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 8 | 11 | −2.84 | −27.4% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 20 | 23 | −2.71 | −17.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 6 | 3 | −2.53 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 7 | 8 | −4.25 | −47.6% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 9 | −2.75 | −9.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 1 | +0.02 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.41 | +114.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 11 | 14 | +0.04 | −24.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 5 | 2 | −2.55 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Rodez · Away9 Aug 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.32 | −0.32 |
| M2 | Boulogne · Home15 Aug 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.11 | +0.79 |
| M3 | Dunkerque · Away22 Aug 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.75 | +2.54 |
| M4 | Pau FC · Home29 Aug 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.68 | +1.86 |
| M5 | Troyes · Away12 Sep 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.16 | +0.69 |
| M6 | Red Star · Home19 Sep 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.46 | −0.77 |
| M7 | Annecy · Away23 Sep 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.70 | +0.93 |
| M8 | Reims · Home26 Sep 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.11 | −0.18 |
| M9 | Guingamp · Away3 Oct 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.24 | −0.41 |
| M10 | Amiens · Home20 Oct 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.94 | −2.35 |
| M11 | Montpellier · Away25 Oct 2025 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.10 | −3.45 |
| M12 | Bastia · Home28 Oct 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.54 | −1.91 |
| M13 | Le Mans · Away31 Oct 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.04 | −2.95 |
| M14 | Laval · Home7 Nov 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.73 | −4.68 |
| M15 | Saint-Étienne · Away22 Nov 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.75 | −5.44 |
| M16 | Grenoble · Away5 Dec 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.47 | −6.90 |
| M17 | Clermont · Home12 Dec 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.32 | −5.58 |
| M18 | Amiens · Away3 Jan 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.41 | −4.17 |
| M19 | Guingamp · Home19 Jan 2026 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.35 | −5.51 |
| M20 | Rodez · Home23 Jan 2026 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.62 | −7.13 |
| M21 | Bastia · Away30 Jan 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.08 | −7.22 |
| M22 | Troyes · Home7 Feb 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.83 | −5.38 |
| M23 | Red Star · Away13 Feb 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.00 | −6.38 |
| M24 | Grenoble · Home20 Feb 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.71 | −7.09 |
| M25 | Laval · Away27 Feb 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.26 | −7.35 |
| M26 | Montpellier · Home6 Mar 2026 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.29 | −8.64 |
| M27 | Le Mans · Home13 Mar 2026 | L 2-4 | 0 | −1.22 | −9.86 |
| M28 | Boulogne · Away20 Mar 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.29 | −10.14 |
| M29 | Saint-Étienne · Home4 Apr 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.02 | −10.13 |
| M30 | Clermont · Away10 Apr 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.24 | −10.36 |
| M31 | Annecy · Home17 Apr 2026 | L 1-5 | 0 | −1.39 | −11.75 |
| M32 | Reims · Away25 Apr 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.33 | −11.42 |
| M33 | Pau FC · Away2 May 2026 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.66 | −9.76 |
| M34 | Dunkerque · Home9 May 2026 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.69 | −8.08 |
| Total | 37 | −8.08 | |||