Points
55Points expected by the market
48.33Gap
+6.67Yield
+3.9%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 13 | 23 | −0.20 | −16.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 16 | 31 | +9.59 | +46.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 1 | −2.72 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 12 | 20 | −1.34 | −23.9% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 5 | 8 | +1.28 | +6.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.14 | +70.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 11 | 23 | +8.31 | +64.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 1 | −2.72 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Montpellier · Away9 Aug 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.08 | +0.08 |
| M2 | Amiens · Home15 Aug 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.78 | −1.71 |
| M3 | Guingamp · Away23 Aug 2025 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.87 | +0.16 |
| M4 | Annecy · Home29 Aug 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.20 | +1.36 |
| M5 | Pau FC · Away12 Sep 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.60 | +2.96 |
| M6 | Nancy · Away19 Sep 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.76 | +4.72 |
| M7 | Troyes · Home23 Sep 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.36 | +3.36 |
| M8 | Boulogne · Away29 Sep 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.46 | +4.82 |
| M9 | Rodez · Home4 Oct 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.74 | +4.08 |
| M10 | Laval · Away18 Oct 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.59 | +5.67 |
| M11 | Grenoble · Home24 Oct 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.19 | +6.86 |
| M12 | Dunkerque · Away28 Oct 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.18 | +5.68 |
| M13 | Saint-Étienne · Home1 Nov 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.80 | +7.48 |
| M14 | Le Mans · Away8 Nov 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.22 | +7.26 |
| M15 | Clermont · Home22 Nov 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.88 | +6.38 |
| M16 | Reims · Home13 Dec 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.15 | +6.24 |
| M17 | Troyes · Away3 Jan 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.94 | +5.30 |
| M18 | Grenoble · Away17 Jan 2026 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.54 | +6.84 |
| M19 | Boulogne · Home24 Jan 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.76 | +6.08 |
| M20 | Rodez · Away30 Jan 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.42 | +5.66 |
| M21 | Pau FC · Home6 Feb 2026 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.54 | +4.12 |
| M22 | Nancy · Home13 Feb 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.28 | +5.40 |
| M23 | Annecy · Away20 Feb 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.22 | +4.18 |
| M24 | Le Mans · Home28 Feb 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.54 | +3.64 |
| M25 | Saint-Étienne · Away7 Mar 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.89 | +2.74 |
| M26 | Dunkerque · Home14 Mar 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.53 | +4.27 |
| M27 | Clermont · Away20 Mar 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.53 | +5.80 |
| M28 | Laval · Home3 Apr 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.89 | +4.91 |
| M29 | Bastia · Home11 Apr 2026 | W 4-3 | 3 | +1.27 | +6.18 |
| M30 | Reims · Away18 Apr 2026 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.97 | +5.22 |
| M31 | Guingamp · Home24 Apr 2026 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.12 | +6.34 |
| M32 | Amiens · Away2 May 2026 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.14 | +7.48 |
| M33 | Montpellier · Home9 May 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.81 | +6.67 |
| Total | 55 | +6.67 | |||