Points
58Points expected by the market
43.04Gap
+14.96Yield
+26.6%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 5 | 12 | +3.48 | +51.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 22 | 37 | +8.84 | +21.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 7 | 9 | +2.64 | +26.9% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 5 | 12 | +3.48 | +51.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 12 | 19 | +3.22 | −5.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 18 | +5.62 | +53.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 7 | 9 | +2.64 | +26.9% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Nancy · Home9 Aug 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.39 | −0.39 |
| M2 | Saint-Étienne · Away16 Aug 2025 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.84 | −1.23 |
| M3 | Laval · Home22 Aug 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.35 | −1.58 |
| M4 | Boulogne · Home29 Aug 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.26 | −0.32 |
| M5 | Le Mans · Away12 Sep 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.88 | +1.56 |
| M6 | Clermont · Home19 Sep 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.57 | −0.01 |
| M7 | Bastia · Away23 Sep 2025 | W 3-2 | 3 | +2.00 | +1.98 |
| M8 | Pau FC · Home26 Sep 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.46 | +0.52 |
| M9 | Red Star · Away4 Oct 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.01 | +0.53 |
| M10 | Reims · Home17 Oct 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.11 | +0.42 |
| M11 | Amiens · Away25 Oct 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.50 | −1.08 |
| M12 | Annecy · Home28 Oct 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.35 | +0.27 |
| M13 | Montpellier · Away31 Oct 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.93 | −0.66 |
| M14 | Grenoble · Away7 Nov 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.25 | −1.91 |
| M15 | Dunkerque · Home21 Nov 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.35 | −2.26 |
| M16 | Troyes · Away6 Dec 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.11 | −2.15 |
| M17 | Guingamp · Home12 Dec 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.55 | −0.60 |
| M18 | Pau FC · Away3 Jan 2026 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.11 | −0.71 |
| M19 | Le Mans · Home16 Jan 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.30 | −1.01 |
| M20 | Nancy · Away23 Jan 2026 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.90 | +0.89 |
| M21 | Red Star · Home30 Jan 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.30 | +0.59 |
| M22 | Boulogne · Away6 Feb 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.79 | +2.38 |
| M23 | Clermont · Away13 Feb 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.73 | +4.11 |
| M24 | Montpellier · Home20 Feb 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.71 | +5.82 |
| M25 | Guingamp · Away28 Feb 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.07 | +5.90 |
| M26 | Grenoble · Home6 Mar 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.34 | +7.24 |
| M27 | Reims · Away14 Mar 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.23 | +9.47 |
| M28 | Bastia · Home20 Mar 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.47 | +9.00 |
| M29 | Dunkerque · Away3 Apr 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.18 | +8.83 |
| M30 | Troyes · Home13 Apr 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.89 | +10.71 |
| M31 | Amiens · Home17 Apr 2026 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.09 | +11.80 |
| M32 | Laval · Away24 Apr 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.41 | +11.39 |
| M33 | Saint-Étienne · Home2 May 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.80 | +13.19 |
| M34 | Annecy · Away9 May 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.77 | +14.96 |
| Total | 58 | +14.96 | |||