Points
67Points expected by the market
55.23Gap
+11.77Yield
+17.4%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 2 | 6 | +1.67 | +41.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 16 | 37 | +8.46 | +34.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 15 | 21 | −0.32 | −20.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.96 | +253.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 2 | 6 | +1.67 | +41.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 11 | 28 | +7.82 | +42.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 4 | 9 | +3.08 | +71.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 5 | 9 | +0.64 | +18.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 11 | 12 | −3.40 | −53.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.96 | +253.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Grenoble · Home9 Aug 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.25 | +1.25 |
| M2 | Clermont · Away15 Aug 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.44 | +0.81 |
| M3 | Montpellier · Home23 Aug 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.47 | +2.28 |
| M4 | Dunkerque · Away29 Aug 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.31 | +0.97 |
| M5 | Nancy · Home12 Sep 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.46 | +2.43 |
| M6 | Guingamp · Home20 Sep 2025 | W 5-2 | 3 | +1.21 | +3.64 |
| M7 | Red Star · Away23 Sep 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.65 | +5.29 |
| M8 | Annecy · Home26 Sep 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.94 | +6.23 |
| M9 | Le Mans · Away3 Oct 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.50 | +5.73 |
| M10 | Bastia · Home17 Oct 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.16 | +6.89 |
| M11 | Reims · Away24 Oct 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.14 | +6.74 |
| M12 | Amiens · Home28 Oct 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.82 | +7.56 |
| M13 | Pau FC · Away3 Nov 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.54 | +7.03 |
| M14 | Saint-Étienne · Home8 Nov 2025 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.40 | +5.62 |
| M15 | Laval · Away21 Nov 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.42 | +7.04 |
| M16 | Rodez · Home6 Dec 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.85 | +6.19 |
| M17 | Boulogne · Away15 Dec 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.34 | +7.52 |
| M18 | Red Star · Home3 Jan 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.22 | +8.74 |
| M19 | Reims · Home17 Jan 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.56 | +10.30 |
| M20 | Guingamp · Away24 Jan 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.34 | +8.96 |
| M21 | Le Mans · Home31 Jan 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.63 | +7.33 |
| M22 | Nancy · Away7 Feb 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.54 | +5.79 |
| M23 | Bastia · Away16 Feb 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.38 | +5.41 |
| M24 | Pau FC · Home21 Feb 2026 | W 4-3 | 3 | +1.26 | +6.68 |
| M25 | Amiens · Away2 Mar 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.21 | +7.89 |
| M26 | Clermont · Home7 Mar 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.10 | +8.98 |
| M27 | Annecy · Away16 Mar 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.61 | +10.60 |
| M28 | Dunkerque · Home21 Mar 2026 | W 5-1 | 3 | +1.17 | +11.77 |
| M29 | Montpellier · Away4 Apr 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.47 | +11.30 |
| M30 | Rodez · Away13 Apr 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.62 | +9.68 |
| M31 | Boulogne · Home18 Apr 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.85 | +10.52 |
| M32 | Saint-Étienne · Away25 Apr 2026 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.96 | +12.48 |
| M33 | Laval · Home2 May 2026 | W 4-0 | 3 | +0.99 | +13.47 |
| M34 | Grenoble · Away9 May 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.70 | +11.77 |
| Total | 67 | +11.77 | |||