Points
19Points expected by the market
14.03Gap
+4.97Yield
+35.3%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 3 | 9 | +3.87 | +93.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 10 | +2.08 | +28.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 0 | −0.98 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 6 | +2.43 | +82.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 3 | 3 | −0.98 | −23.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.44 | +116.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 3 | 7 | +3.07 | +80.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 0 | −0.98 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Boulogne · Away8 Aug 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.32 | −0.32 |
| M2 | Montpellier · Home14 Aug 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.34 | −1.66 |
| M3 | Pau FC · Away21 Aug 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.69 | +0.03 |
| M4 | Dunkerque · Home28 Aug 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.52 | +1.55 |
| M5 | Nantes · Away7 Sep 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.98 | +0.57 |
| M6 | Reims · Home11 Sep 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.17 | −0.60 |
| M7 | Rodez · Away18 Sep 2026 | W 4-3 | 3 | +1.70 | +1.10 |
| M8 | Guingamp · Home9 Oct 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.39 | +2.48 |
| M9 | Annecy · Away16 Oct 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.44 | +3.92 |
| M10 | Laval · Home23 Oct 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.04 | +4.97 |
| Total | 19 | +4.97 | |||