← MLS 2020

Inter Miami

Season 2020 · 24 matches played

Last 5WLLWL

League Team Season

Points

Points expected by the market

35.29

Gap

−11.29

Yield

−38.2%

Market film

Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below

The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.

Performance by odds

Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.

Odds band	Matches playedMP	PointsPts	Expected	Gap	Yield
Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches	1	3	2.33	+0.67	+31.0%
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19	8	14	14.54	−0.54	−1.1%
Even 2.20 – 3.49	13	7	16.90	−9.90	−56.8%
Underdog 3.50 or more few matches	2	0	1.52	−1.52	−100.0%
Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches	1	3	2.33	+0.67	+31.0%
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19	6	11	10.91	+0.09	−3.2%
Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches	3	3	4.10	−1.10	−9.0%
Underdog 3.50 or more	0	—	—	—	—
Heavy favourite under 1.50	0	—	—	—	—
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches	2	3	3.63	−0.63	+5.0%
Even 2.20 – 3.49	10	4	12.80	−8.80	−71.1%
Underdog 3.50 or more few matches	2	0	1.52	−1.52	−100.0%

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.

Match by match

M	Opponent	Date	ResultRes.	Odds to win	Expected	PointsPts	Gap	Running total	€1 bet
M1	Los Angeles FC · Away1 Mar 2020	1 Mar 2020	L 0-1	8.13	0.51	0	−0.51	−0.51	−€1.00
M2	DC United · Away7 Mar 2020	7 Mar 2020	L 1-2	3.01	1.21	0	−1.21	−1.73	−€1.00
M3	Orlando City · Away9 Jul 2020	9 Jul 2020	L 1-2	2.46	1.42	0	−1.42	−3.15	−€1.00
M4	Philadelphia Union · Away15 Jul 2020	15 Jul 2020	L 1-2	2.88	1.24	0	−1.24	−4.38	−€1.00
M5	New York City · Home20 Jul 2020	20 Jul 2020	L 0-1	2.70	1.30	0	−1.30	−5.68	−€1.00
M6	Orlando City · Home23 Aug 2020	23 Aug 2020	W 3-2	2.73	1.31	3	+1.69	−3.99	+€1.73
M7	Nashville SC · Away31 Aug 2020	31 Aug 2020	L 0-1	3.21	1.17	0	−1.17	−5.17	−€1.00
M8	Atlanta United · Away3 Sep 2020	3 Sep 2020	D 0-0	3.09	1.19	1	−0.19	−5.35	−€1.00
M9	Nashville SC · Home7 Sep 2020	7 Sep 2020	D 0-0	1.93	1.75	1	−0.75	−6.10	−€1.00
M10	Atlanta United · Home10 Sep 2020	10 Sep 2020	W 2-1	1.88	1.77	3	+1.23	−4.87	+€0.88
M11	Orlando City · Away13 Sep 2020	13 Sep 2020	L 1-2	3.37	1.10	0	−1.10	−5.97	−€1.00
M12	Atlanta United · Away20 Sep 2020	20 Sep 2020	W 2-1	2.10	1.64	3	+1.36	−4.61	+€1.10
M13	New York Red Bulls · Home24 Sep 2020	24 Sep 2020	L 1-4	1.66	1.95	0	−1.95	−6.56	−€1.00
M14	Philadelphia Union · Away28 Sep 2020	28 Sep 2020	L 0-3	2.43	1.44	0	−1.44	−8.00	−€1.00
M15	New York City · Home4 Oct 2020	4 Oct 2020	L 2-3	2.30	1.49	0	−1.49	−9.49	−€1.00
M16	New York Red Bulls · Away8 Oct 2020	8 Oct 2020	W 2-1	2.89	1.24	3	+1.76	−7.73	+€1.89
M17	Houston Dynamo · Home10 Oct 2020	10 Oct 2020	W 1-0	1.78	1.83	3	+1.17	−6.56	+€0.78
M18	Atlanta United · Home15 Oct 2020	15 Oct 2020	D 1-1	1.57	2.03	1	−1.03	−7.59	−€1.00
M19	CF Montreal · Away18 Oct 2020	18 Oct 2020	L 1-2	1.60	1.99	0	−1.99	−9.58	−€1.00
M20	Orlando City · Home24 Oct 2020	24 Oct 2020	W 2-1	2.15	1.58	3	+1.42	−8.16	+€1.15
M21	FC Dallas · Away29 Oct 2020	29 Oct 2020	L 1-2	2.48	1.40	0	−1.40	−9.57	−€1.00
M22	Toronto FC · Away2 Nov 2020	2 Nov 2020	L 1-2	2.51	1.39	0	−1.39	−10.95	−€1.00
M23	FC Cincinnati · Home8 Nov 2020	8 Nov 2020	W 2-1	1.31	2.33	3	+0.67	−10.29	+€0.31
M24	Nashville SC · Away21 Nov 2020	21 Nov 2020	L 0-3	3.97	1.01	0	−1.01	−11.29	−€1.00
Total					35.29	24	−11.29		−€9.16