← MLS 2020

New England Revolution

Season 2020 · 28 matches played

Last 5LWWWL

League Team Season

Points

Points expected by the market

41.65

Gap

−0.65

Yield

−4.8%

Market film

Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below

The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.

Performance by odds

Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.

Odds band	Matches playedMP	PointsPts	Expected	Gap	Yield
Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches	2	6	4.34	+1.66	+44.0%
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19	9	14	15.67	−1.67	−39.3%
Even 2.20 – 3.49	14	15	18.69	−3.69	−26.4%
Underdog 3.50 or more few matches	3	6	2.94	+3.06	+167.0%
Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches	2	6	4.34	+1.66	+44.0%
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19	6	7	10.57	−3.57	−73.3%
Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches	3	1	3.99	−2.99	−100.0%
Underdog 3.50 or more	0	—	—	—	—
Heavy favourite under 1.50	0	—	—	—	—
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches	3	7	5.10	+1.90	+28.7%
Even 2.20 – 3.49	11	14	14.71	−0.71	−6.3%
Underdog 3.50 or more few matches	3	6	2.94	+3.06	+167.0%

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.

Match by match

M	Opponent	Date	ResultRes.	Odds to win	Expected	PointsPts	Gap	Running total	€1 bet
M1	CF Montreal · Away29 Feb 2020	29 Feb 2020	L 1-2	2.46	1.43	0	−1.43	−1.43	−€1.00
M2	Chicago Fire · Home7 Mar 2020	7 Mar 2020	D 1-1	1.97	1.68	1	−0.68	−2.11	−€1.00
M3	CF Montreal · Away10 Jul 2020	10 Jul 2020	W 1-0	2.24	1.52	3	+1.48	−0.63	+€1.24
M4	DC United · Away18 Jul 2020	18 Jul 2020	D 1-1	2.00	1.66	1	−0.66	−1.29	−€1.00
M5	Toronto FC · Away21 Jul 2020	21 Jul 2020	D 0-0	3.30	1.11	1	−0.11	−1.40	−€1.00
M6	Philadelphia Union · Away26 Jul 2020	26 Jul 2020	L 0-1	2.38	1.45	0	−1.45	−2.85	−€1.00
M7	Philadelphia Union · Home21 Aug 2020	21 Aug 2020	D 0-0	2.18	1.56	1	−0.56	−3.41	−€1.00
M8	DC United · Away26 Aug 2020	26 Aug 2020	W 2-1	2.34	1.49	3	+1.51	−1.90	+€1.34
M9	New York Red Bulls · Home30 Aug 2020	30 Aug 2020	D 1-1	1.85	1.78	1	−0.78	−2.68	−€1.00
M10	New York City · Home3 Sep 2020	3 Sep 2020	L 0-2	2.66	1.33	0	−1.33	−4.01	−€1.00
M11	Chicago Fire · Away7 Sep 2020	7 Sep 2020	W 2-1	2.83	1.27	3	+1.73	−2.28	+€1.83
M12	Philadelphia Union · Away13 Sep 2020	13 Sep 2020	L 1-2	3.08	1.19	0	−1.19	−3.47	−€1.00
M13	New York City · Home19 Sep 2020	19 Sep 2020	D 0-0	2.77	1.29	1	−0.29	−3.75	−€1.00
M14	CF Montreal · Home23 Sep 2020	23 Sep 2020	W 3-1	1.60	1.99	3	+1.01	−2.75	+€0.60
M15	DC United · Away28 Sep 2020	28 Sep 2020	W 2-0	1.98	1.70	3	+1.30	−1.44	+€0.98
M16	Nashville SC · Home4 Oct 2020	4 Oct 2020	D 0-0	1.81	1.83	1	−0.83	−2.28	−€1.00
M17	Toronto FC · Home8 Oct 2020	8 Oct 2020	L 0-1	2.55	1.37	0	−1.37	−3.65	−€1.00
M18	New York City · Away11 Oct 2020	11 Oct 2020	W 2-1	4.37	0.89	3	+2.11	−1.54	+€3.37
M19	CF Montreal · Away15 Oct 2020	15 Oct 2020	W 3-2	1.88	1.75	3	+1.25	−0.28	+€0.88
M20	Philadelphia Union · Home20 Oct 2020	20 Oct 2020	L 1-2	1.93	1.72	0	−1.72	−2.00	−€1.00
M21	Nashville SC · Away24 Oct 2020	24 Oct 2020	D 1-1	2.64	1.37	1	−0.37	−2.37	−€1.00
M22	New York Red Bulls · Away28 Oct 2020	28 Oct 2020	L 0-1	2.77	1.30	0	−1.30	−3.68	−€1.00
M23	DC United · Home2 Nov 2020	2 Nov 2020	W 4-3	1.49	2.12	3	+0.88	−2.79	+€0.49
M24	Philadelphia Union · Away8 Nov 2020	8 Nov 2020	L 0-2	3.63	1.03	0	−1.03	−3.82	−€1.00
M25	CF Montreal · Home20 Nov 2020	20 Nov 2020	W 2-1	1.39	2.22	3	+0.78	−3.05	+€0.39
M26	Philadelphia Union · Away25 Nov 2020	25 Nov 2020	W 2-0	3.64	1.03	3	+1.97	−1.07	+€2.64
M27	Orlando City · Away29 Nov 2020	29 Nov 2020	W 3-1	2.90	1.24	3	+1.76	+0.68	+€1.90
M28	Columbus Crew · Away6 Dec 2020	6 Dec 2020	L 0-1	2.69	1.33	0	−1.33	−0.65	−€1.00
Total					41.65	41	−0.65		−€1.34