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← MLS 2023

Toronto FC

Season 2023 · 34 matches played

Last 5LLLLL

Points

22

Points expected by the market

37.76

Gap

−15.76

Yield

−69.2%

Market film

Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below

The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.

M1M5M10M15M20M25M30

Performance by odds

Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.

Odds bandMatches playedMPPointsPtsExpectedGapYield
Heavy favourite under 1.50 0 — — — —
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches 4 4 6.52 −2.52 −48.0%
Even 2.20 – 3.49 13 11 18.13 −7.13 −62.8%
Underdog 3.50 or more 17 7 13.12 −6.12 −79.0%

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.

Match by match

MOpponentDateResultRes. Odds to winExpectedPointsPtsGap Running total€1 bet
M1 DC United · Away26 Feb 2023 26 Feb 2023 L 2-3 2.48 1.40 0 −1.40 −1.40 −€1.00
M2 Atlanta United · Away5 Mar 2023 5 Mar 2023 D 1-1 4.20 0.90 1 +0.10 −1.31 −€1.00
M3 Columbus Crew · Home12 Mar 2023 12 Mar 2023 D 1-1 2.20 1.57 1 −0.57 −1.88 −€1.00
M4 Inter Miami · Home18 Mar 2023 18 Mar 2023 W 2-0 2.08 1.63 3 +1.37 −0.51 +€1.08
M5 San Jose Earthquakes · Away26 Mar 2023 26 Mar 2023 D 0-0 4.52 0.87 1 +0.13 −0.38 −€1.00
M6 Charlotte · Home2 Apr 2023 2 Apr 2023 D 2-2 1.99 1.69 1 −0.69 −1.07 −€1.00
M7 Nashville SC · Away9 Apr 2023 9 Apr 2023 D 0-0 4.54 0.88 1 +0.12 −0.95 −€1.00
M8 Atlanta United · Home16 Apr 2023 16 Apr 2023 D 2-2 2.55 1.38 1 −0.38 −1.33 −€1.00
M9 Philadelphia Union · Away23 Apr 2023 23 Apr 2023 L 2-4 5.09 0.79 0 −0.79 −2.12 −€1.00
M10 New York City · Home30 Apr 2023 30 Apr 2023 W 1-0 2.24 1.55 3 +1.45 −0.67 +€1.24
M11 New England Revolution · Home7 May 2023 7 May 2023 L 0-2 2.08 1.63 0 −1.63 −2.29 −€1.00
M12 CF Montreal · Away14 May 2023 14 May 2023 L 0-2 3.22 1.15 0 −1.15 −3.44 −€1.00
M13 New York Red Bulls · Home18 May 2023 18 May 2023 D 0-0 2.31 1.53 1 −0.53 −3.97 −€1.00
M14 Austin FC · Away21 May 2023 21 May 2023 L 0-1 3.57 1.07 0 −1.07 −5.03 −€1.00
M15 DC United · Home28 May 2023 28 May 2023 W 2-1 2.59 1.38 3 +1.62 −3.41 +€1.59
M16 Chicago Fire · Home1 Jun 2023 1 Jun 2023 D 0-0 2.25 1.52 1 −0.52 −3.93 −€1.00
M17 Minnesota United · Away4 Jun 2023 4 Jun 2023 D 1-1 3.57 1.06 1 −0.06 −3.99 −€1.00
M18 Nashville SC · Home11 Jun 2023 11 Jun 2023 D 1-1 2.41 1.46 1 −0.46 −4.45 −€1.00
M19 FC Cincinnati · Away22 Jun 2023 22 Jun 2023 L 0-3 3.90 0.98 0 −0.98 −5.43 −€1.00
M20 New England Revolution · Away25 Jun 2023 25 Jun 2023 L 1-2 5.39 0.74 0 −0.74 −6.17 −€1.00
M21 Real Salt Lake · Home2 Jul 2023 2 Jul 2023 L 0-1 2.35 1.46 0 −1.46 −7.64 −€1.00
M22 Orlando City · Away5 Jul 2023 5 Jul 2023 L 0-4 6.90 0.61 0 −0.61 −8.25 −€1.00
M23 St. Louis City · Home9 Jul 2023 9 Jul 2023 L 0-1 3.02 1.20 0 −1.20 −9.45 −€1.00
M24 Chicago Fire · Away16 Jul 2023 16 Jul 2023 L 0-1 4.93 0.82 0 −0.82 −10.26 −€1.00
M25 CF Montreal · Home21 Aug 2023 21 Aug 2023 L 2-3 2.18 1.57 0 −1.57 −11.83 −€1.00
M26 Columbus Crew · Away27 Aug 2023 27 Aug 2023 L 0-2 7.64 0.54 0 −0.54 −12.38 −€1.00
M27 Philadelphia Union · Home31 Aug 2023 31 Aug 2023 W 3-1 3.57 1.04 3 +1.96 −10.41 +€2.57
M28 Vancouver Whitecaps · Home17 Sep 2023 17 Sep 2023 L 1-2 3.13 1.16 0 −1.16 −11.57 −€1.00
M29 Inter Miami · Away21 Sep 2023 21 Sep 2023 L 0-4 8.99 0.47 0 −0.47 −12.04 −€1.00
M30 New York City · Away24 Sep 2023 24 Sep 2023 L 0-3 7.01 0.60 0 −0.60 −12.64 −€1.00
M31 FC Cincinnati · Home1 Oct 2023 1 Oct 2023 L 2-3 4.85 0.80 0 −0.80 −13.44 −€1.00
M32 Charlotte · Away5 Oct 2023 5 Oct 2023 L 0-3 7.99 0.53 0 −0.53 −13.98 −€1.00
M33 New York Red Bulls · Away8 Oct 2023 8 Oct 2023 L 0-3 10.76 0.42 0 −0.42 −14.40 −€1.00
M34 Orlando City · Home21 Oct 2023 21 Oct 2023 L 0-2 2.54 1.37 0 −1.37 −15.76 −€1.00
Total 37.76 22 −15.76 −€23.52