Points
54Points expected by the market
56.38Gap
−2.38Yield
−14.2%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 2 | 6 | +1.64 | +42.5% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 16 | 24 | −4.72 | −23.4% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 13 | 18 | +1.45 | +5.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 7 | 6 | −0.74 | −46.4% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 2 | 6 | +1.64 | +42.5% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 15 | 24 | −3.16 | −18.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 2 | 6 | +3.10 | +142.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 0 | −1.57 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 11 | 12 | −1.65 | −19.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 7 | 6 | −0.74 | −46.4% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Charlotte · Away25 Feb 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.21 | −1.21 |
| M2 | St. Louis City · Away3 Mar 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.23 | −2.44 |
| M3 | Portland Timbers · Home9 Mar 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.70 | −4.14 |
| M4 | Toronto FC · Home16 Mar 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.99 | −3.15 |
| M5 | FC Cincinnati · Away23 Mar 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.89 | −4.04 |
| M6 | Inter Miami · Away30 Mar 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.02 | −4.06 |
| M7 | Atlanta United · Home7 Apr 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.65 | −4.71 |
| M8 | New England Revolution · Home14 Apr 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.25 | −3.46 |
| M9 | DC United · Home21 Apr 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.09 | −2.37 |
| M10 | Charlotte · Home28 Apr 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.16 | −1.21 |
| M11 | Colorado Rapids · Home5 May 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.98 | −3.19 |
| M12 | Toronto FC · Away12 May 2024 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.73 | −1.46 |
| M13 | Philadelphia Union · Away16 May 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.99 | +0.53 |
| M14 | New York Red Bulls · Home19 May 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.60 | +2.12 |
| M15 | New England Revolution · Away26 May 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.64 | +3.77 |
| M16 | San Jose Earthquakes · Home1 Jun 2024 | W 5-1 | 3 | +0.99 | +4.76 |
| M17 | Columbus Crew · Home15 Jun 2024 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.57 | +3.19 |
| M18 | Los Angeles Galaxy · Away20 Jun 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.07 | +2.13 |
| M19 | Nashville SC · Away23 Jun 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.30 | +0.83 |
| M20 | Orlando City · Home29 Jun 2024 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.16 | +1.99 |
| M21 | CF Montreal · Home4 Jul 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.76 | +2.74 |
| M22 | Austin FC · Away7 Jul 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.43 | +1.32 |
| M23 | Chicago Fire · Away14 Jul 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.23 | +1.09 |
| M24 | Atlanta United · Away18 Jul 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.17 | +0.92 |
| M25 | Orlando City · Away21 Jul 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.04 | +0.88 |
| M26 | Chicago Fire · Home25 Aug 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −1.07 | −0.19 |
| M27 | Columbus Crew · Away1 Sep 2024 | L 2-4 | 0 | −0.84 | −1.03 |
| M28 | DC United · Away15 Sep 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.31 | −1.34 |
| M29 | Philadelphia Union · Home19 Sep 2024 | L 1-5 | 0 | −1.88 | −3.23 |
| M30 | Inter Miami · Home21 Sep 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.61 | −3.83 |
| M31 | New York Red Bulls · Away29 Sep 2024 | W 5-1 | 3 | +1.92 | −1.91 |
| M32 | FC Cincinnati · Home3 Oct 2024 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.28 | −0.64 |
| M33 | Nashville SC · Home6 Oct 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.88 | +0.25 |
| M34 | CF Montreal · Away19 Oct 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.57 | −1.32 |
| M35 | FC Cincinnati · Away28 Oct 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.00 | −2.32 |
| M36 | FC Cincinnati · Home2 Nov 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.50 | −0.81 |
| M37 | FC Cincinnati · Away9 Nov 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.05 | −0.76 |
| M38 | New York Red Bulls · Home23 Nov 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.61 | −2.38 |
| Total | 54 | −2.38 | |||