Points
28Points expected by the market
42.99Gap
−14.99Yield
−58.5%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.87 | +48.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 7 | 8 | −4.61 | −76.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 16 | 12 | −8.60 | −64.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 9 | 5 | −2.64 | −45.7% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.87 | +48.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 7 | 8 | −4.61 | −76.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 9 | −1.74 | −29.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 3 | −6.86 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 9 | 5 | −2.64 | −45.7% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | CF Montreal · Home23 Feb 2025 | W 3-2 | 3 | +0.87 | +0.87 |
| M2 | Charlotte · Away1 Mar 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.10 | −0.23 |
| M3 | New York Red Bulls · Home9 Mar 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.74 | −0.97 |
| M4 | Inter Miami · Home16 Mar 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.30 | −2.27 |
| M5 | FC Cincinnati · Away22 Mar 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.07 | −2.20 |
| M6 | New York City · Home29 Mar 2025 | W 4-3 | 3 | +1.07 | −1.13 |
| M7 | FC Dallas · Home6 Apr 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.92 | −2.05 |
| M8 | Philadelphia Union · Away20 Apr 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.08 | −3.13 |
| M9 | Orlando City · Away27 Apr 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.93 | −4.07 |
| M10 | Nashville SC · Home3 May 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.58 | −4.65 |
| M11 | Chicago Fire · Away10 May 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.18 | −5.83 |
| M12 | Austin FC · Away15 May 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.04 | −5.87 |
| M13 | Philadelphia Union · Home18 May 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.65 | −7.52 |
| M14 | FC Cincinnati · Home26 May 2025 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.70 | −5.82 |
| M15 | Orlando City · Home29 May 2025 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.75 | −4.07 |
| M16 | New York Red Bulls · Away1 Jun 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.04 | −5.12 |
| M17 | New York City · Away13 Jun 2025 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.04 | −6.15 |
| M18 | Columbus Crew · Away26 Jun 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.90 | −7.05 |
| M19 | DC United · Away6 Jul 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.23 | −7.29 |
| M20 | Toronto FC · Away13 Jul 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.30 | −7.58 |
| M21 | Chicago Fire · Home17 Jul 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.47 | −8.05 |
| M22 | Charlotte · Home20 Jul 2025 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.51 | −9.56 |
| M23 | Seattle Sounders · Home27 Jul 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.38 | −9.94 |
| M24 | CF Montreal · Away10 Aug 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.41 | −10.34 |
| M25 | Colorado Rapids · Away17 Aug 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.25 | −11.60 |
| M26 | Toronto FC · Home24 Aug 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.88 | −12.47 |
| M27 | Nashville SC · Away31 Aug 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.21 | −10.26 |
| M28 | Columbus Crew · Home14 Sep 2025 | L 4-5 | 0 | −1.15 | −11.41 |
| M29 | San Diego FC · Home20 Sep 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.38 | −11.79 |
| M30 | New England Revolution · Away28 Sep 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.31 | −13.11 |
| M31 | Los Angeles FC · Away6 Oct 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.53 | −13.63 |
| M32 | Inter Miami · Away12 Oct 2025 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.44 | −14.07 |
| M33 | DC United · Home18 Oct 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.91 | −14.99 |
| Total | 28 | −14.99 | |||