Points
28Points expected by the market
35.19Gap
−7.19Yield
−29.4%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 1 | −2.49 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 15 | 11 | −8.05 | −63.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 17 | 16 | +3.35 | +8.6% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 1 | −2.49 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 15 | 11 | −8.05 | −63.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 17 | 16 | +3.35 | +8.6% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Atlanta United · Away23 Feb 2025 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.66 | −0.66 |
| M2 | Minnesota United · Away2 Mar 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.60 | −1.26 |
| M3 | Vancouver Whitecaps · Away9 Mar 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.54 | −1.80 |
| M4 | DC United · Away15 Mar 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.35 | −1.45 |
| M5 | Nashville SC · Away23 Mar 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.74 | −2.19 |
| M6 | Chicago Fire · Away30 Mar 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.18 | −2.01 |
| M7 | Columbus Crew · Away6 Apr 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.69 | −2.71 |
| M8 | Charlotte · Home13 Apr 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.46 | −4.16 |
| M9 | Orlando City · Home20 Apr 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.29 | −4.45 |
| M10 | New York Red Bulls · Away26 Apr 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.86 | −5.30 |
| M11 | Philadelphia Union · Home4 May 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.31 | −6.61 |
| M12 | New York City · Away11 May 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.03 | −4.59 |
| M13 | Columbus Crew · Home15 May 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.23 | −4.82 |
| M14 | Toronto FC · Home17 May 2025 | L 1-6 | 0 | −1.84 | −6.66 |
| M15 | Los Angeles FC · Home25 May 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.09 | −6.74 |
| M16 | Inter Miami · Away29 May 2025 | L 2-4 | 0 | −0.62 | −7.36 |
| M17 | New England Revolution · Home1 Jun 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.52 | −8.88 |
| M18 | Houston Dynamo · Away15 Jun 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +2.11 | −6.77 |
| M19 | FC Cincinnati · Home26 Jun 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.17 | −7.95 |
| M20 | New York City · Home29 Jun 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.67 | −6.28 |
| M21 | Inter Miami · Home6 Jul 2025 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.03 | −7.30 |
| M22 | Orlando City · Away13 Jul 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.39 | −6.92 |
| M23 | Philadelphia Union · Away17 Jul 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.61 | −7.53 |
| M24 | Chicago Fire · Home20 Jul 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.25 | −8.78 |
| M25 | New England Revolution · Away26 Jul 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +2.11 | −6.68 |
| M26 | Atlanta United · Home10 Aug 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.33 | −7.01 |
| M27 | DC United · Home17 Aug 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.64 | −7.65 |
| M28 | Austin FC · Home24 Aug 2025 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.76 | −5.89 |
| M29 | Toronto FC · Away31 Aug 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.04 | −5.93 |
| M30 | St. Louis City · Home14 Sep 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.39 | −7.32 |
| M31 | New York Red Bulls · Home21 Sep 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.25 | −8.57 |
| M32 | Charlotte · Away28 Sep 2025 | W 4-1 | 3 | +2.33 | −6.25 |
| M33 | Nashville SC · Home4 Oct 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.17 | −6.42 |
| M34 | FC Cincinnati · Away18 Oct 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.77 | −7.19 |
| Total | 28 | −7.19 | |||