Points
60Points expected by the market
50.21Gap
+9.79Yield
+23.2%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 2 | 3 | −1.23 | −26.5% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 9 | 21 | +5.25 | +48.4% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 18 | 31 | +7.69 | +47.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 8 | 5 | −1.90 | −48.6% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 2 | 3 | −1.23 | −26.5% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 9 | 21 | +5.25 | +48.4% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 16 | +5.18 | +59.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 15 | +2.51 | +38.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 8 | 5 | −1.90 | −48.6% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Seattle Sounders · Away23 Feb 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.21 | +0.21 |
| M2 | Atlanta United · Home1 Mar 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.36 | +1.56 |
| M3 | Inter Miami · Away9 Mar 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.81 | +0.75 |
| M4 | FC Cincinnati · Home15 Mar 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.44 | +2.19 |
| M5 | San Jose Earthquakes · Home22 Mar 2025 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.02 | +3.21 |
| M6 | Colorado Rapids · Away29 Mar 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.19 | +2.02 |
| M7 | Nashville SC · Home5 Apr 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.41 | +3.43 |
| M8 | CF Montreal · Away13 Apr 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.75 | +5.18 |
| M9 | San Diego FC · Home20 Apr 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.44 | +6.61 |
| M10 | New England Revolution · Home27 Apr 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.80 | +4.82 |
| M11 | Columbus Crew · Away4 May 2025 | L 2-4 | 0 | −0.81 | +4.01 |
| M12 | Nashville SC · Away11 May 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.92 | +3.09 |
| M13 | Orlando City · Away15 May 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.88 | +2.22 |
| M14 | Chicago Fire · Home18 May 2025 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.70 | +0.52 |
| M15 | Columbus Crew · Home25 May 2025 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.83 | +2.35 |
| M16 | New York Red Bulls · Away29 May 2025 | L 2-4 | 0 | −1.16 | +1.19 |
| M17 | Toronto FC · Away1 Jun 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.44 | +2.62 |
| M18 | Philadelphia Union · Away15 Jun 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.16 | +1.46 |
| M19 | Sporting Kansas City · Away26 Jun 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.35 | +0.11 |
| M20 | Chicago Fire · Away29 Jun 2025 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.13 | −1.02 |
| M21 | Orlando City · Home6 Jul 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.20 | −1.22 |
| M22 | New York City · Home13 Jul 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.45 | +0.23 |
| M23 | DC United · Home17 Jul 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.89 | +1.13 |
| M24 | Atlanta United · Away20 Jul 2025 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.76 | +2.89 |
| M25 | Toronto FC · Home27 Jul 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.92 | +3.81 |
| M26 | FC Cincinnati · Away10 Aug 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.08 | +5.89 |
| M27 | Real Salt Lake · Home17 Aug 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.27 | +7.17 |
| M28 | New York Red Bulls · Home25 Aug 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.31 | +8.47 |
| M29 | New England Revolution · Away31 Aug 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.86 | +10.34 |
| M30 | Inter Miami · Home14 Sep 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.78 | +12.11 |
| M31 | New York City · Away20 Sep 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.89 | +11.22 |
| M32 | CF Montreal · Home28 Sep 2025 | L 1-4 | 0 | −2.13 | +9.09 |
| M33 | DC United · Away4 Oct 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.70 | +10.79 |
| M34 | Philadelphia Union · Home18 Oct 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.57 | +12.36 |
| M35 | New York City · Home28 Oct 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.33 | +11.02 |
| M36 | New York City · Away1 Nov 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.12 | +11.14 |
| M37 | New York City · Home8 Nov 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.35 | +9.79 |
| Total | 60 | +9.79 | |||