Points
57Points expected by the market
50.30Gap
+6.70Yield
+22.8%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 14 | 25 | +0.92 | −4.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 13 | 16 | −1.07 | −19.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 10 | 16 | +6.85 | +116.1% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 13 | 24 | +1.50 | +3.1% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 3 | −5.23 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 1 | −0.59 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 13 | +4.16 | +49.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 10 | 16 | +6.85 | +116.1% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Columbus Crew · Away23 Feb 2025 | L 2-4 | 0 | −0.74 | −0.74 |
| M2 | DC United · Home2 Mar 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.58 | −1.32 |
| M3 | FC Dallas · Away9 Mar 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +2.21 | +0.89 |
| M4 | Toronto FC · Away15 Mar 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.82 | +2.71 |
| M5 | Vancouver Whitecaps · Away23 Mar 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +2.02 | +4.73 |
| M6 | CF Montreal · Home30 Mar 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.94 | +3.80 |
| M7 | New York Red Bulls · Away6 Apr 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.97 | +2.83 |
| M8 | Inter Miami · Home13 Apr 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.21 | +2.62 |
| M9 | FC Cincinnati · Home20 Apr 2025 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.52 | +1.10 |
| M10 | Nashville SC · Away27 Apr 2025 | L 2-7 | 0 | −1.03 | +0.07 |
| M11 | Orlando City · Home4 May 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.29 | −0.22 |
| M12 | Atlanta United · Home10 May 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.44 | +1.21 |
| M13 | Charlotte · Away18 May 2025 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.95 | +3.16 |
| M14 | New York City · Away25 May 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.12 | +2.04 |
| M15 | Orlando City · Away1 Jun 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +2.15 | +4.19 |
| M16 | DC United · Away8 Jun 2025 | W 7-1 | 3 | +1.62 | +5.81 |
| M17 | Nashville SC · Home15 Jun 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.36 | +4.45 |
| M18 | Philadelphia Union · Home26 Jun 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.72 | +2.73 |
| M19 | Charlotte · Home29 Jun 2025 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.37 | +4.10 |
| M20 | FC Cincinnati · Away6 Jul 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.03 | +3.07 |
| M21 | San Diego FC · Home13 Jul 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.38 | +1.69 |
| M22 | Atlanta United · Away17 Jul 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.29 | +1.40 |
| M23 | CF Montreal · Away20 Jul 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.51 | +2.91 |
| M24 | New York Red Bulls · Home27 Jul 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.12 | +4.02 |
| M25 | Los Angeles FC · Home10 Aug 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.47 | +3.55 |
| M26 | St. Louis City · Home17 Aug 2025 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.03 | +4.58 |
| M27 | Philadelphia Union · Away24 Aug 2025 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.93 | +3.65 |
| M28 | New England Revolution · Home7 Sep 2025 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.12 | +4.77 |
| M29 | New York City · Home14 Sep 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.59 | +3.18 |
| M30 | Minnesota United · Away21 Sep 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.65 | +4.83 |
| M31 | Columbus Crew · Home28 Sep 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.45 | +6.28 |
| M32 | Inter Miami · Away1 Oct 2025 | W 5-3 | 3 | +2.19 | +8.47 |
| M33 | Toronto FC · Home5 Oct 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −1.05 | +7.42 |
| M34 | New England Revolution · Away18 Oct 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.59 | +6.83 |
| M35 | Orlando City · Home23 Oct 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.43 | +8.26 |
| M36 | Philadelphia Union · Away26 Oct 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | 0.00 | +8.26 |
| M37 | Philadelphia Union · Home1 Nov 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.57 | +6.70 |
| Total | 57 | +6.70 | |||