Points
57Points expected by the market
58.86Gap
−1.86Yield
−22.3%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 3 | 7 | +0.55 | −3.3% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 16 | 31 | +1.91 | −1.9% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 16 | 17 | −4.27 | −36.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 2 | −0.06 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 3 | 7 | +0.55 | −3.3% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 13 | 27 | +2.87 | +5.1% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 2 | 1 | −1.99 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 3 | 4 | −0.96 | −32.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 14 | 16 | −2.27 | −27.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 2 | −0.06 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Chicago Fire · Home23 Feb 2025 | W 4-2 | 3 | +0.96 | +0.96 |
| M2 | New England Revolution · Away2 Mar 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.54 | +2.50 |
| M3 | Houston Dynamo · Home8 Mar 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.94 | +1.55 |
| M4 | San Diego FC · Away16 Mar 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.24 | +1.32 |
| M5 | New York City · Home22 Mar 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.54 | +0.78 |
| M6 | DC United · Away29 Mar 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.68 | +2.47 |
| M7 | CF Montreal · Home6 Apr 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.91 | +3.38 |
| M8 | St. Louis City · Away14 Apr 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.50 | +4.88 |
| M9 | Inter Miami · Home19 Apr 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.46 | +3.42 |
| M10 | San Jose Earthquakes · Home27 Apr 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.86 | +4.28 |
| M11 | Charlotte · Home4 May 2025 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.05 | +5.33 |
| M12 | Philadelphia Union · Away11 May 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.39 | +4.94 |
| M13 | CF Montreal · Away15 May 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.50 | +4.44 |
| M14 | FC Cincinnati · Home18 May 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.73 | +3.71 |
| M15 | Charlotte · Away25 May 2025 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.59 | +2.12 |
| M16 | Nashville SC · Home29 May 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.69 | +1.43 |
| M17 | Inter Miami · Away1 Jun 2025 | L 1-5 | 0 | −1.16 | +0.27 |
| M18 | Vancouver Whitecaps · Home15 Jun 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.40 | +1.67 |
| M19 | Atlanta United · Home26 Jun 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.12 | +2.79 |
| M20 | Philadelphia Union · Home29 Jun 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.18 | +3.97 |
| M21 | Seattle Sounders · Away6 Jul 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.04 | +3.93 |
| M22 | FC Cincinnati · Away13 Jul 2025 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.72 | +5.65 |
| M23 | Nashville SC · Away17 Jul 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.07 | +4.57 |
| M24 | DC United · Home20 Jul 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.84 | +5.41 |
| M25 | Orlando City · Home26 Jul 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.55 | +3.86 |
| M26 | Toronto FC · Away17 Aug 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.76 | +3.11 |
| M27 | New England Revolution · Home24 Aug 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −2.06 | +1.05 |
| M28 | New York Red Bulls · Away31 Aug 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.36 | +0.69 |
| M29 | Atlanta United · Away14 Sep 2025 | W 5-4 | 3 | +1.39 | +2.08 |
| M30 | New York City · Away18 Sep 2025 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.05 | +1.03 |
| M31 | Toronto FC · Home21 Sep 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.15 | −0.13 |
| M32 | Chicago Fire · Away28 Sep 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.21 | −1.34 |
| M33 | Orlando City · Away5 Oct 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.02 | −1.36 |
| M34 | New York Red Bulls · Home18 Oct 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.97 | −0.39 |
| M35 | FC Cincinnati · Away27 Oct 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.34 | −1.73 |
| M36 | FC Cincinnati · Home2 Nov 2025 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.26 | −0.47 |
| M37 | FC Cincinnati · Away8 Nov 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.39 | −1.86 |
| Total | 57 | −1.86 | |||