Points
26Points expected by the market
38.97Gap
−12.97Yield
−40.7%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 1 | −1.14 | −100.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 3 | 7 | +1.90 | +34.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 14 | 6 | −12.72 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 16 | 12 | −1.01 | +0.9% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 1 | −1.14 | −100.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 3 | 7 | +1.90 | +34.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 4 | −10.04 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 1 | −2.00 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 4 | 2 | −2.68 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 13 | 11 | +0.99 | +24.2% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Toronto FC · Home23 Feb 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.76 | −0.76 |
| M2 | Chicago Fire · Away2 Mar 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.15 | −0.91 |
| M3 | Sporting Kansas City · Home9 Mar 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.27 | +0.36 |
| M4 | CF Montreal · Home15 Mar 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −1.14 | −0.78 |
| M5 | Orlando City · Away22 Mar 2025 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.97 | −1.75 |
| M6 | Columbus Crew · Home29 Mar 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.42 | −3.16 |
| M7 | San Jose Earthquakes · Away6 Apr 2025 | L 1-6 | 0 | −1.17 | −4.34 |
| M8 | FC Cincinnati · Home13 Apr 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.51 | −5.85 |
| M9 | New York Red Bulls · Away20 Apr 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.94 | −3.90 |
| M10 | Philadelphia Union · Away26 Apr 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.80 | −4.71 |
| M11 | Colorado Rapids · Home4 May 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.38 | −3.32 |
| M12 | Toronto FC · Away10 May 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.26 | −4.58 |
| M13 | New York City · Home15 May 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.51 | −5.09 |
| M14 | Nashville SC · Away18 May 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.28 | −4.81 |
| M15 | New York Red Bulls · Home25 May 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.26 | −6.06 |
| M16 | New England Revolution · Home29 May 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.39 | −6.45 |
| M17 | FC Cincinnati · Away1 Jun 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.37 | −4.08 |
| M18 | Chicago Fire · Home8 Jun 2025 | L 1-7 | 0 | −1.35 | −5.43 |
| M19 | Real Salt Lake · Away15 Jun 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.85 | −6.28 |
| M20 | Nashville SC · Home29 Jun 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.98 | −7.26 |
| M21 | Atlanta United · Home6 Jul 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.51 | −7.77 |
| M22 | Los Angeles Galaxy · Away13 Jul 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.79 | −8.56 |
| M23 | Charlotte · Away17 Jul 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.69 | −9.25 |
| M24 | Columbus Crew · Away20 Jul 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.64 | −9.89 |
| M25 | Austin FC · Home27 Jul 2025 | L 2-4 | 0 | −1.33 | −11.22 |
| M26 | New England Revolution · Away10 Aug 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.77 | −11.99 |
| M27 | CF Montreal · Away17 Aug 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.10 | −12.09 |
| M28 | Inter Miami · Home24 Aug 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.33 | −12.42 |
| M29 | New York City · Away31 Aug 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.30 | −10.12 |
| M30 | Orlando City · Home14 Sep 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.02 | −10.14 |
| M31 | Inter Miami · Away21 Sep 2025 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.53 | −10.67 |
| M32 | Philadelphia Union · Home28 Sep 2025 | L 0-6 | 0 | −0.99 | −11.66 |
| M33 | Charlotte · Home4 Oct 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.44 | −13.10 |
| M34 | Atlanta United · Away18 Oct 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.13 | −12.97 |
| Total | 26 | −12.97 | |||