Points
71Points expected by the market
56.19Gap
+14.81Yield
+39.9%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 0 | −2.16 | −100.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 11 | 26 | +5.44 | +27.9% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 22 | 38 | +8.60 | +44.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 7 | +2.93 | +83.3% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 0 | −2.16 | −100.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 10 | 23 | +4.01 | +19.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 13 | +0.70 | +12.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.43 | +112.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 13 | 25 | +7.91 | +66.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 7 | +2.93 | +83.3% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | New York Red Bulls · Home23 Feb 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.26 | +1.26 |
| M2 | Philadelphia Union · Away2 Mar 2025 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.39 | −0.13 |
| M3 | Toronto FC · Home9 Mar 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.01 | +0.88 |
| M4 | Charlotte · Away15 Mar 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.17 | −0.29 |
| M5 | Atlanta United · Home22 Mar 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.83 | −1.12 |
| M6 | Nashville SC · Away30 Mar 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.82 | +0.70 |
| M7 | New England Revolution · Home6 Apr 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.14 | +1.85 |
| M8 | DC United · Away13 Apr 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.77 | +3.62 |
| M9 | Chicago Fire · Away20 Apr 2025 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.80 | +5.42 |
| M10 | Sporting Kansas City · Home26 Apr 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.97 | +6.39 |
| M11 | New York City · Away4 May 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.28 | +5.11 |
| M12 | Austin FC · Home11 May 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.05 | +6.16 |
| M13 | Toronto FC · Away15 May 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.63 | +7.80 |
| M14 | Columbus Crew · Away18 May 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.02 | +7.78 |
| M15 | Atlanta United · Away26 May 2025 | L 2-4 | 0 | −1.43 | +6.35 |
| M16 | FC Dallas · Home29 May 2025 | D 3-3 | 1 | −1.01 | +5.34 |
| M17 | DC United · Home1 Jun 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −2.16 | +3.18 |
| M18 | New England Revolution · Away15 Jun 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.56 | +4.74 |
| M19 | CF Montreal · Away26 Jun 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.43 | +6.17 |
| M20 | Orlando City · Away29 Jun 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.01 | +8.18 |
| M21 | Chicago Fire · Home6 Jul 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.26 | +9.45 |
| M22 | Columbus Crew · Home13 Jul 2025 | L 2-4 | 0 | −1.46 | +7.98 |
| M23 | Inter Miami · Home17 Jul 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.69 | +9.68 |
| M24 | Real Salt Lake · Away20 Jul 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.95 | +11.63 |
| M25 | Inter Miami · Away27 Jul 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.23 | +11.40 |
| M26 | Charlotte · Home10 Aug 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.84 | +9.56 |
| M27 | Portland Timbers · Away17 Aug 2025 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.62 | +11.18 |
| M28 | New York City · Home24 Aug 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.51 | +9.67 |
| M29 | Philadelphia Union · Home31 Aug 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.29 | +8.38 |
| M30 | Nashville SC · Home14 Sep 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.61 | +9.99 |
| M31 | Los Angeles Galaxy · Away21 Sep 2025 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.59 | +11.58 |
| M32 | Orlando City · Home29 Sep 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.44 | +11.14 |
| M33 | New York Red Bulls · Away5 Oct 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.61 | +12.75 |
| M34 | CF Montreal · Home18 Oct 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.98 | +13.73 |
| M35 | Columbus Crew · Home27 Oct 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.59 | +15.32 |
| M36 | Columbus Crew · Away2 Nov 2025 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.02 | +14.30 |
| M37 | Columbus Crew · Home8 Nov 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.65 | +15.96 |
| M38 | Inter Miami · Home23 Nov 2025 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.15 | +14.81 |
| Total | 71 | +14.81 | |||