Points
80Points expected by the market
68.82Gap
+11.18Yield
+13.6%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 7 | 19 | +3.33 | +17.3% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 18 | 38 | +5.42 | +20.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 15 | 23 | +2.43 | +3.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 7 | 19 | +3.33 | +17.3% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 12 | 28 | +5.39 | +31.2% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 2 | 1 | −2.08 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | 10 | +0.02 | −1.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 13 | 22 | +4.50 | +19.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | New York City · Home23 Feb 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −1.11 | −1.11 |
| M2 | Houston Dynamo · Away3 Mar 2025 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.72 | +0.62 |
| M3 | Charlotte · Home9 Mar 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.04 | +1.66 |
| M4 | Atlanta United · Away16 Mar 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.54 | +3.20 |
| M5 | Philadelphia Union · Home29 Mar 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.11 | +4.31 |
| M6 | Toronto FC · Home7 Apr 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.27 | +3.04 |
| M7 | Chicago Fire · Away13 Apr 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.54 | +2.51 |
| M8 | Columbus Crew · Away19 Apr 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.72 | +4.22 |
| M9 | FC Dallas · Home27 Apr 2025 | L 3-4 | 0 | −1.56 | +2.66 |
| M10 | New York Red Bulls · Home4 May 2025 | W 4-1 | 3 | +0.98 | +3.65 |
| M11 | Minnesota United · Away10 May 2025 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.26 | +2.39 |
| M12 | San Jose Earthquakes · Away15 May 2025 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.37 | +2.02 |
| M13 | Orlando City · Home19 May 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.84 | +0.18 |
| M14 | Philadelphia Union · Away25 May 2025 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.34 | −0.17 |
| M15 | CF Montreal · Home29 May 2025 | W 4-2 | 3 | +0.79 | +0.63 |
| M16 | Columbus Crew · Home1 Jun 2025 | W 5-1 | 3 | +1.38 | +2.01 |
| M17 | CF Montreal · Away6 Jul 2025 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.25 | +3.26 |
| M18 | New England Revolution · Away10 Jul 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.39 | +4.65 |
| M19 | Nashville SC · Home13 Jul 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.30 | +5.95 |
| M20 | FC Cincinnati · Away17 Jul 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.45 | +4.51 |
| M21 | New York Red Bulls · Away20 Jul 2025 | W 5-1 | 3 | +1.66 | +6.16 |
| M22 | FC Cincinnati · Home27 Jul 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.51 | +5.65 |
| M23 | Orlando City · Away11 Aug 2025 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.09 | +4.56 |
| M24 | Los Angeles Galaxy · Home17 Aug 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.93 | +5.49 |
| M25 | DC United · Away24 Aug 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.39 | +5.10 |
| M26 | Charlotte · Away14 Sep 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.53 | +3.57 |
| M27 | Seattle Sounders · Home17 Sep 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.29 | +4.86 |
| M28 | DC United · Home21 Sep 2025 | W 3-2 | 3 | +0.70 | +5.56 |
| M29 | New York City · Away25 Sep 2025 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.69 | +7.25 |
| M30 | Toronto FC · Away27 Sep 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.95 | +6.29 |
| M31 | Chicago Fire · Home1 Oct 2025 | L 3-5 | 0 | −1.99 | +4.30 |
| M32 | New England Revolution · Home5 Oct 2025 | W 4-1 | 3 | +0.69 | +4.99 |
| M33 | Atlanta United · Home12 Oct 2025 | W 4-0 | 3 | +0.58 | +5.57 |
| M34 | Nashville SC · Away18 Oct 2025 | W 5-2 | 3 | +1.61 | +7.18 |
| M35 | Nashville SC · Home25 Oct 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.94 | +8.12 |
| M36 | Nashville SC · Away1 Nov 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.53 | +6.59 |
| M37 | Nashville SC · Home9 Nov 2025 | W 4-0 | 3 | +0.99 | +7.58 |
| M38 | FC Cincinnati · Away23 Nov 2025 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.39 | +8.97 |
| M39 | New York City · Home29 Nov 2025 | W 5-1 | 3 | +0.91 | +9.88 |
| M40 | Vancouver Whitecaps · Home6 Dec 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.29 | +11.18 |
| Total | 80 | +11.18 | |||