Points
30Points expected by the market
42.45Gap
−12.45Yield
−55.9%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 9 | 10 | −5.76 | −40.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 12 | 14 | −1.65 | −19.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 13 | 6 | −5.04 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 9 | 10 | −5.76 | −40.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 12 | +2.24 | +38.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 1 | −0.05 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 5 | 2 | −3.89 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 12 | 5 | −4.99 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | San Diego FC · Home24 Feb 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −2.03 | −2.03 |
| M2 | Vancouver Whitecaps · Away2 Mar 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.80 | −2.83 |
| M3 | St. Louis City · Home9 Mar 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.59 | −4.42 |
| M4 | Portland Timbers · Away16 Mar 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.12 | −4.55 |
| M5 | Minnesota United · Away22 Mar 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.04 | −4.59 |
| M6 | Orlando City · Home30 Mar 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.34 | −5.93 |
| M7 | Real Salt Lake · Away5 Apr 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.79 | −6.73 |
| M8 | Houston Dynamo · Home13 Apr 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.67 | −7.40 |
| M9 | Austin FC · Away19 Apr 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.08 | −8.48 |
| M10 | Portland Timbers · Home28 Apr 2025 | L 2-4 | 0 | −1.63 | −10.11 |
| M11 | Sporting Kansas City · Away5 May 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.36 | −11.47 |
| M12 | New York Red Bulls · Away11 May 2025 | L 0-7 | 0 | −0.96 | −12.44 |
| M13 | Philadelphia Union · Away15 May 2025 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.85 | −13.29 |
| M14 | Los Angeles FC · Home19 May 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.05 | −13.34 |
| M15 | San Diego FC · Away24 May 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.90 | −14.24 |
| M16 | San Jose Earthquakes · Home29 May 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.55 | −15.79 |
| M17 | Real Salt Lake · Home1 Jun 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.35 | −14.44 |
| M18 | St. Louis City · Away14 Jun 2025 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.25 | −14.68 |
| M19 | Colorado Rapids · Away26 Jun 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.07 | −15.76 |
| M20 | San Jose Earthquakes · Away29 Jun 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.10 | −15.66 |
| M21 | Vancouver Whitecaps · Home5 Jul 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.49 | −14.17 |
| M22 | DC United · Home13 Jul 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.02 | −13.15 |
| M23 | Austin FC · Home17 Jul 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.78 | −14.93 |
| M24 | Los Angeles FC · Away20 Jul 2025 | D 3-3 | 1 | +0.17 | −14.76 |
| M25 | Seattle Sounders · Home11 Aug 2025 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.44 | −16.19 |
| M26 | Inter Miami · Away17 Aug 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.73 | −16.92 |
| M27 | Colorado Rapids · Home24 Aug 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.59 | −15.33 |
| M28 | Houston Dynamo · Away7 Sep 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.17 | −15.16 |
| M29 | Seattle Sounders · Away14 Sep 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.44 | −14.72 |
| M30 | FC Cincinnati · Home21 Sep 2025 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.34 | −16.06 |
| M31 | Sporting Kansas City · Home28 Sep 2025 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.12 | −14.94 |
| M32 | FC Dallas · Away4 Oct 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.79 | −15.73 |
| M33 | FC Dallas · Home12 Oct 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.71 | −14.02 |
| M34 | Minnesota United · Home19 Oct 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.57 | −12.45 |
| Total | 30 | −12.45 | |||