Points
57Points expected by the market
55.03Gap
+1.97Yield
−4.9%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.68 | +31.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 17 | 37 | +6.40 | +17.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 13 | 13 | −3.79 | −22.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 6 | 4 | −1.32 | −35.8% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.68 | +31.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 14 | 33 | +7.33 | +29.4% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 3 | 3 | −1.14 | −6.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 3 | 4 | −0.93 | −38.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 10 | −2.65 | −27.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 6 | 4 | −1.32 | −35.8% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | New England Revolution · Home23 Feb 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.68 | −0.68 |
| M2 | New York Red Bulls · Away2 Mar 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.86 | −1.53 |
| M3 | Portland Timbers · Home9 Mar 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.05 | −0.48 |
| M4 | Philadelphia Union · Away16 Mar 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +2.00 | +1.53 |
| M5 | CF Montreal · Home23 Mar 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.97 | +2.49 |
| M6 | FC Cincinnati · Home30 Mar 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.54 | +0.95 |
| M7 | Charlotte · Away5 Apr 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.12 | −0.17 |
| M8 | Real Salt Lake · Home13 Apr 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.17 | +1.00 |
| M9 | Seattle Sounders · Away20 Apr 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.89 | +0.11 |
| M10 | Chicago Fire · Home27 Apr 2025 | W 7-2 | 3 | +1.29 | +1.40 |
| M11 | Atlanta United · Away3 May 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.15 | +1.25 |
| M12 | Charlotte · Home11 May 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.17 | +2.42 |
| M13 | New York Red Bulls · Home15 May 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.28 | +3.70 |
| M14 | DC United · Home18 May 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −1.06 | +2.64 |
| M15 | Toronto FC · Away25 May 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.48 | +4.12 |
| M16 | Columbus Crew · Away29 May 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.05 | +4.07 |
| M17 | New York City · Home31 May 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.73 | +3.34 |
| M18 | Chicago Fire · Away15 Jun 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.63 | +4.97 |
| M19 | New England Revolution · Away26 Jun 2025 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.55 | +6.51 |
| M20 | DC United · Away29 Jun 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.24 | +7.75 |
| M21 | Philadelphia Union · Home6 Jul 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.26 | +9.01 |
| M22 | Inter Miami · Away13 Jul 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.06 | +7.95 |
| M23 | Columbus Crew · Home17 Jul 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.33 | +9.29 |
| M24 | Toronto FC · Home20 Jul 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.68 | +9.97 |
| M25 | San Diego FC · Away26 Jul 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.27 | +8.70 |
| M26 | St. Louis City · Away10 Aug 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.59 | +7.11 |
| M27 | New York City · Away17 Aug 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.29 | +5.82 |
| M28 | Orlando City · Home24 Aug 2025 | W 5-1 | 3 | +1.12 | +6.94 |
| M29 | Atlanta United · Home31 Aug 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.99 | +4.95 |
| M30 | FC Cincinnati · Away14 Sep 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.34 | +3.61 |
| M31 | Orlando City · Away21 Sep 2025 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.07 | +2.54 |
| M32 | Houston Dynamo · Home28 Sep 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.14 | +3.68 |
| M33 | CF Montreal · Away4 Oct 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.58 | +3.10 |
| M34 | Inter Miami · Home18 Oct 2025 | L 2-5 | 0 | −1.37 | +1.73 |
| M35 | Inter Miami · Away25 Oct 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.75 | +0.99 |
| M36 | Inter Miami · Home1 Nov 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.77 | +2.75 |
| M37 | Inter Miami · Away9 Nov 2025 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.78 | +1.97 |
| Total | 57 | +1.97 | |||