Points
33Points expected by the market
40.81Gap
−7.81Yield
−24.1%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | 6 | −5.07 | −74.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 17 | 19 | −2.34 | −17.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 10 | 8 | −0.40 | −6.3% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | 6 | −5.07 | −74.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 11 | 10 | −3.98 | −27.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 9 | +1.64 | +1.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 10 | 8 | −0.40 | −6.3% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Nashville SC · Away23 Feb 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.05 | −0.05 |
| M2 | Columbus Crew · Home2 Mar 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.27 | −1.33 |
| M3 | Philadelphia Union · Home9 Mar 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.42 | −2.74 |
| M4 | New York City · Away15 Mar 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.83 | −3.57 |
| M5 | New York Red Bulls · Home29 Mar 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.82 | −1.75 |
| M6 | FC Cincinnati · Away6 Apr 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.90 | −2.65 |
| M7 | New York City · Home20 Apr 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.55 | −1.10 |
| M8 | Charlotte · Away27 Apr 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.06 | +0.95 |
| M9 | Toronto FC · Away3 May 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.77 | +2.72 |
| M10 | Orlando City · Away11 May 2025 | D 3-3 | 1 | +0.18 | +2.90 |
| M11 | San Jose Earthquakes · Home18 May 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −1.00 | +1.90 |
| M12 | Sporting Kansas City · Away25 May 2025 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.23 | +1.67 |
| M13 | DC United · Away29 May 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.32 | +1.35 |
| M14 | CF Montreal · Away1 Jun 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.79 | +3.14 |
| M15 | FC Cincinnati · Home15 Jun 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.29 | +1.85 |
| M16 | Nashville SC · Home26 Jun 2025 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.27 | +0.58 |
| M17 | Colorado Rapids · Home29 Jun 2025 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.77 | −0.19 |
| M18 | Portland Timbers · Away6 Jul 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.14 | −1.33 |
| M19 | Inter Miami · Home10 Jul 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.15 | −2.49 |
| M20 | Austin FC · Away13 Jul 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.23 | −2.71 |
| M21 | New York Red Bulls · Away17 Jul 2025 | L 3-5 | 0 | −0.96 | −3.67 |
| M22 | Orlando City · Home20 Jul 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.23 | −4.90 |
| M23 | CF Montreal · Home26 Jul 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.88 | −6.78 |
| M24 | DC United · Home10 Aug 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.99 | −5.79 |
| M25 | Los Angeles FC · Home17 Aug 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.11 | −6.90 |
| M26 | Columbus Crew · Away24 Aug 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.26 | −4.64 |
| M27 | Charlotte · Home31 Aug 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.61 | −6.25 |
| M28 | Chicago Fire · Away7 Sep 2025 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.89 | −7.14 |
| M29 | Toronto FC · Home14 Sep 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.80 | −7.94 |
| M30 | Philadelphia Union · Away20 Sep 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.73 | −8.67 |
| M31 | Atlanta United · Home28 Sep 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.57 | −7.11 |
| M32 | Inter Miami · Away5 Oct 2025 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.53 | −7.64 |
| M33 | Chicago Fire · Home18 Oct 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.17 | −7.81 |
| Total | 33 | −7.81 | |||