Points
66Points expected by the market
54.58Gap
+11.42Yield
+28.9%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 0 | −2.10 | −100.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 12 | 25 | +3.55 | +25.2% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 18 | 33 | +8.79 | +45.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 8 | 8 | +1.19 | +13.7% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 0 | −2.10 | −100.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 12 | 25 | +3.55 | +25.2% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 5 | 9 | +1.65 | +42.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 13 | 24 | +7.14 | +46.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 8 | 8 | +1.19 | +13.7% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Inter Miami · Away23 Feb 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.31 | +0.31 |
| M2 | Los Angeles FC · Away2 Mar 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.83 | −0.52 |
| M3 | Orlando City · Home9 Mar 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.54 | +1.02 |
| M4 | New England Revolution · Home15 Mar 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.07 | +2.09 |
| M5 | Columbus Crew · Away22 Mar 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.19 | +1.91 |
| M6 | Atlanta United · Away29 Mar 2025 | L 3-4 | 0 | −0.83 | +1.07 |
| M7 | Minnesota United · Home6 Apr 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.55 | −0.47 |
| M8 | Philadelphia Union · Home13 Apr 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.33 | +0.86 |
| M9 | New England Revolution · Away20 Apr 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.27 | −0.41 |
| M10 | Toronto FC · Away26 Apr 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.63 | +1.22 |
| M11 | FC Cincinnati · Home4 May 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.54 | +2.76 |
| M12 | CF Montreal · Home11 May 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.77 | +0.99 |
| M13 | DC United · Away15 May 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.23 | +0.76 |
| M14 | New York Red Bulls · Home17 May 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.39 | +2.15 |
| M15 | Chicago Fire · Home25 May 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.37 | +3.52 |
| M16 | Houston Dynamo · Home29 May 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.92 | +1.60 |
| M17 | Nashville SC · Away31 May 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | 0.00 | +1.60 |
| M18 | Atlanta United · Home13 Jun 2025 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.29 | +2.89 |
| M19 | CF Montreal · Away29 Jun 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.39 | +1.50 |
| M20 | Toronto FC · Home4 Jul 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.97 | +2.47 |
| M21 | Charlotte · Away13 Jul 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.20 | +1.27 |
| M22 | Orlando City · Away17 Jul 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.15 | +3.42 |
| M23 | Sporting Kansas City · Away20 Jul 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.41 | +3.02 |
| M24 | FC Dallas · Away26 Jul 2025 | W 4-3 | 3 | +1.66 | +4.67 |
| M25 | Nashville SC · Home17 Aug 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.55 | +6.22 |
| M26 | FC Cincinnati · Away24 Aug 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.77 | +7.99 |
| M27 | DC United · Home31 Aug 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −2.10 | +5.89 |
| M28 | Chicago Fire · Away14 Sep 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.84 | +7.74 |
| M29 | Columbus Crew · Home18 Sep 2025 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.30 | +9.03 |
| M30 | Charlotte · Home20 Sep 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.14 | +10.17 |
| M31 | Inter Miami · Home25 Sep 2025 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.43 | +8.73 |
| M32 | New York Red Bulls · Away28 Sep 2025 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.67 | +10.40 |
| M33 | Philadelphia Union · Away5 Oct 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.03 | +9.38 |
| M34 | Seattle Sounders · Home18 Oct 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.75 | +7.63 |
| M35 | Charlotte · Away28 Oct 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.61 | +9.24 |
| M36 | Charlotte · Home1 Nov 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.87 | +8.37 |
| M37 | Charlotte · Away8 Nov 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.64 | +10.01 |
| M38 | Philadelphia Union · Away24 Nov 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.12 | +12.14 |
| M39 | Inter Miami · Away29 Nov 2025 | L 1-5 | 0 | −0.71 | +11.42 |
| Total | 66 | +11.42 | |||