Points
43Points expected by the market
46.70Gap
−3.70Yield
−27.9%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 12 | 27 | +6.06 | +25.2% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 13 | 13 | −4.43 | −27.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 9 | 3 | −5.33 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 11 | 26 | +6.75 | +36.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 7 | −1.48 | −21.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 1 | −0.69 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 6 | −2.95 | −32.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 9 | 3 | −5.33 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | FC Cincinnati · Away23 Feb 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.99 | −0.99 |
| M2 | Nashville SC · Home2 Mar 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.13 | +0.14 |
| M3 | Atlanta United · Away9 Mar 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.01 | +0.13 |
| M4 | Orlando City · Home15 Mar 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.68 | −0.55 |
| M5 | Toronto FC · Home22 Mar 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.05 | +0.51 |
| M6 | New England Revolution · Away29 Mar 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.53 | −1.02 |
| M7 | Chicago Fire · Home6 Apr 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.23 | +0.22 |
| M8 | Orlando City · Away12 Apr 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.10 | +0.32 |
| M9 | DC United · Home20 Apr 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.67 | −1.36 |
| M10 | CF Montreal · Home26 Apr 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.12 | −0.24 |
| M11 | Inter Miami · Away4 May 2025 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.77 | −1.01 |
| M12 | Los Angeles Galaxy · Home11 May 2025 | W 7-0 | 3 | +1.23 | +0.22 |
| M13 | Nashville SC · Away15 May 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.02 | −0.80 |
| M14 | New York City · Away17 May 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.12 | −1.92 |
| M15 | DC United · Away25 May 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.55 | −0.37 |
| M16 | Charlotte · Home29 May 2025 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.43 | +1.07 |
| M17 | Atlanta United · Home1 Jun 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.30 | +2.37 |
| M18 | Austin FC · Away15 Jun 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.20 | +1.17 |
| M19 | Toronto FC · Away26 Jun 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.69 | +0.48 |
| M20 | Minnesota United · Home29 Jun 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.63 | −0.16 |
| M21 | San Jose Earthquakes · Away6 Jul 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.01 | −0.17 |
| M22 | Philadelphia Union · Away13 Jul 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.00 | −1.16 |
| M23 | New England Revolution · Home17 Jul 2025 | W 5-3 | 3 | +1.21 | +0.05 |
| M24 | Inter Miami · Home20 Jul 2025 | L 1-5 | 0 | −1.40 | −1.35 |
| M25 | Chicago Fire · Away27 Jul 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.89 | −2.24 |
| M26 | Real Salt Lake · Home10 Aug 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.46 | −0.78 |
| M27 | Philadelphia Union · Home17 Aug 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.62 | +0.84 |
| M28 | Charlotte · Away25 Aug 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.06 | −0.22 |
| M29 | Columbus Crew · Home31 Aug 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.38 | −0.59 |
| M30 | Portland Timbers · Away14 Sep 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.12 | −1.71 |
| M31 | CF Montreal · Away21 Sep 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.51 | −0.20 |
| M32 | New York City · Home28 Sep 2025 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.40 | −1.60 |
| M33 | FC Cincinnati · Home5 Oct 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.36 | −2.96 |
| M34 | Columbus Crew · Away18 Oct 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.75 | −3.70 |
| Total | 43 | −3.70 | |||