Points
53Points expected by the market
55.78Gap
−2.78Yield
−12.5%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 2 | 4 | −0.38 | −30.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 17 | 26 | −4.79 | −25.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 13 | 19 | +1.24 | −4.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 4 | +1.16 | +38.3% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 2 | 4 | −0.38 | −30.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 14 | 24 | −1.94 | −9.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 1 | 0 | −1.51 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 3 | 2 | −2.85 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 12 | 19 | +2.74 | +3.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 4 | +1.16 | +38.3% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Philadelphia Union · Home23 Feb 2025 | L 2-4 | 0 | −2.03 | −2.03 |
| M2 | Toronto FC · Home2 Mar 2025 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.07 | −0.97 |
| M3 | New York City · Away9 Mar 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.26 | −2.23 |
| M4 | New York Red Bulls · Away15 Mar 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.03 | −2.26 |
| M5 | DC United · Home22 Mar 2025 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.21 | −1.06 |
| M6 | Los Angeles Galaxy · Away30 Mar 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.60 | +0.55 |
| M7 | Philadelphia Union · Away6 Apr 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.16 | +0.38 |
| M8 | New York Red Bulls · Home12 Apr 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.85 | −0.46 |
| M9 | CF Montreal · Away20 Apr 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.42 | −0.89 |
| M10 | Atlanta United · Home27 Apr 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.20 | +0.31 |
| M11 | Chicago Fire · Away4 May 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.43 | −0.12 |
| M12 | New England Revolution · Home11 May 2025 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.95 | −1.07 |
| M13 | Charlotte · Home15 May 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.12 | +0.05 |
| M14 | Inter Miami · Away19 May 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +2.08 | +2.13 |
| M15 | Portland Timbers · Home25 May 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.00 | +3.13 |
| M16 | Atlanta United · Away29 May 2025 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.49 | +1.64 |
| M17 | Chicago Fire · Home1 Jun 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.93 | −0.29 |
| M18 | Colorado Rapids · Away15 Jun 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.54 | +1.26 |
| M19 | St. Louis City · Away26 Jun 2025 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.56 | +2.81 |
| M20 | FC Cincinnati · Home29 Jun 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.77 | +1.05 |
| M21 | Charlotte · Away6 Jul 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.55 | +0.50 |
| M22 | CF Montreal · Home13 Jul 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.20 | −0.69 |
| M23 | New York City · Home17 Jul 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.91 | −2.60 |
| M24 | New England Revolution · Away20 Jul 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.49 | −1.11 |
| M25 | Columbus Crew · Away26 Jul 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.81 | +0.70 |
| M26 | Inter Miami · Home11 Aug 2025 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.33 | +2.02 |
| M27 | Sporting Kansas City · Home17 Aug 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.82 | +2.84 |
| M28 | Nashville SC · Away24 Aug 2025 | L 1-5 | 0 | −0.89 | +1.95 |
| M29 | DC United · Away14 Sep 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.72 | +1.23 |
| M30 | Nashville SC · Home21 Sep 2025 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.33 | +2.55 |
| M31 | FC Cincinnati · Away29 Sep 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.32 | +2.24 |
| M32 | Columbus Crew · Home5 Oct 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.75 | +1.49 |
| M33 | Vancouver Whitecaps · Home12 Oct 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.51 | −0.02 |
| M34 | Toronto FC · Away18 Oct 2025 | L 2-4 | 0 | −1.58 | −1.60 |
| M35 | Chicago Fire · Away23 Oct 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.18 | −2.78 |
| Total | 53 | −2.78 | |||