Points
70Points expected by the market
55.15Gap
+14.85Yield
+32.8%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 2 | 4 | −0.43 | −30.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 14 | 34 | +8.64 | +42.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 15 | 29 | +9.32 | +49.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 6 | 3 | −2.68 | −9.5% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 2 | 4 | −0.43 | −30.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 12 | 28 | +6.16 | +34.4% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 5 | 9 | +1.82 | −1.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 6 | +2.48 | +87.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 20 | +7.50 | +75.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 6 | 3 | −2.68 | −9.5% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Orlando City · Away23 Feb 2025 | W 4-2 | 3 | +2.25 | +2.25 |
| M2 | FC Cincinnati · Home2 Mar 2025 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.66 | +3.92 |
| M3 | New England Revolution · Away9 Mar 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.68 | +5.60 |
| M4 | Nashville SC · Home16 Mar 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.75 | +3.86 |
| M5 | St. Louis City · Home22 Mar 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.46 | +5.32 |
| M6 | Inter Miami · Away29 Mar 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.88 | +4.43 |
| M7 | Orlando City · Home6 Apr 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.57 | +3.87 |
| M8 | New York City · Away13 Apr 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.07 | +2.80 |
| M9 | Atlanta United · Home20 Apr 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.34 | +4.14 |
| M10 | DC United · Home26 Apr 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.03 | +5.16 |
| M11 | CF Montreal · Away4 May 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.59 | +6.76 |
| M12 | Columbus Crew · Home11 May 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.33 | +6.43 |
| M13 | Los Angeles Galaxy · Home15 May 2025 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.09 | +7.52 |
| M14 | Atlanta United · Away18 May 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.91 | +9.43 |
| M15 | Inter Miami · Home25 May 2025 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.41 | +9.02 |
| M16 | Toronto FC · Away29 May 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.24 | +10.26 |
| M17 | FC Dallas · Away1 Jun 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.17 | +10.09 |
| M18 | Charlotte · Home15 Jun 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.43 | +11.52 |
| M19 | Chicago Fire · Away26 Jun 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.96 | +13.48 |
| M20 | Columbus Crew · Away29 Jun 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.94 | +12.54 |
| M21 | Nashville SC · Away6 Jul 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.00 | +11.53 |
| M22 | New York Red Bulls · Home13 Jul 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.26 | +12.79 |
| M23 | CF Montreal · Home17 Jul 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.81 | +13.60 |
| M24 | Houston Dynamo · Away20 Jul 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.20 | +13.41 |
| M25 | Colorado Rapids · Home27 Jul 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.00 | +14.41 |
| M26 | Toronto FC · Home10 Aug 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.24 | +13.17 |
| M27 | New York Red Bulls · Away17 Aug 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.34 | +11.82 |
| M28 | Chicago Fire · Home24 Aug 2025 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.16 | +12.98 |
| M29 | FC Cincinnati · Away31 Aug 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.54 | +14.52 |
| M30 | Vancouver Whitecaps · Away14 Sep 2025 | L 0-7 | 0 | −1.04 | +13.49 |
| M31 | New England Revolution · Home20 Sep 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.94 | +14.43 |
| M32 | DC United · Away28 Sep 2025 | W 6-0 | 3 | +1.24 | +15.67 |
| M33 | New York City · Home5 Oct 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.27 | +16.95 |
| M34 | Charlotte · Away18 Oct 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.31 | +15.64 |
| M35 | Chicago Fire · Home26 Oct 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.75 | +14.89 |
| M36 | Chicago Fire · Away1 Nov 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.82 | +16.71 |
| M37 | New York City · Home24 Nov 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.86 | +14.85 |
| Total | 70 | +14.85 | |||