Points
41Points expected by the market
48.60Gap
−7.60Yield
−23.0%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.88 | +45.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 12 | 22 | −0.04 | −1.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 13 | 9 | −7.50 | −58.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 9 | 7 | −0.95 | −8.2% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.88 | +45.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 12 | 22 | −0.04 | −1.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 4 | 3 | −2.52 | −35.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 6 | −4.97 | −68.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 9 | 7 | −0.95 | −8.2% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | San Jose Earthquakes · Away23 Feb 2025 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.18 | −1.18 |
| M2 | Seattle Sounders · Home1 Mar 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.59 | +0.41 |
| M3 | San Diego FC · Home9 Mar 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.86 | −1.45 |
| M4 | Houston Dynamo · Away16 Mar 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.94 | +0.49 |
| M5 | FC Dallas · Home23 Mar 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.73 | −1.24 |
| M6 | Minnesota United · Away30 Mar 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.82 | −2.06 |
| M7 | Los Angeles Galaxy · Home5 Apr 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.02 | −1.04 |
| M8 | Nashville SC · Away13 Apr 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.91 | −1.95 |
| M9 | Toronto FC · Home20 Apr 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.87 | −3.82 |
| M10 | San Diego FC · Away27 Apr 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +2.16 | −1.66 |
| M11 | Vancouver Whitecaps · Away4 May 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.85 | −2.51 |
| M12 | FC Dallas · Away11 May 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.23 | −2.74 |
| M13 | Portland Timbers · Home15 May 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.63 | −3.37 |
| M14 | Colorado Rapids · Away18 May 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.23 | −4.60 |
| M15 | Vancouver Whitecaps · Home25 May 2025 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.44 | −6.04 |
| M16 | Austin FC · Away29 May 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.06 | −5.98 |
| M17 | Los Angeles Galaxy · Away1 Jun 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.09 | −7.07 |
| M18 | DC United · Home15 Jun 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.09 | −5.98 |
| M19 | Sporting Kansas City · Away29 Jun 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.33 | −6.31 |
| M20 | St. Louis City · Home6 Jul 2025 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.02 | −5.29 |
| M21 | Houston Dynamo · Home13 Jul 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.28 | −4.01 |
| M22 | Portland Timbers · Away17 Jul 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.76 | −2.25 |
| M23 | FC Cincinnati · Home20 Jul 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.69 | −3.93 |
| M24 | San Jose Earthquakes · Home27 Jul 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.22 | −2.71 |
| M25 | New York Red Bulls · Away10 Aug 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.20 | −3.91 |
| M26 | Charlotte · Away17 Aug 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.02 | −4.93 |
| M27 | Minnesota United · Home24 Aug 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.49 | −6.42 |
| M28 | Sporting Kansas City · Home14 Sep 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.88 | −5.54 |
| M29 | Los Angeles FC · Home18 Sep 2025 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.19 | −6.72 |
| M30 | Los Angeles FC · Away22 Sep 2025 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.62 | −7.35 |
| M31 | Austin FC · Home28 Sep 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.06 | −6.29 |
| M32 | Colorado Rapids · Home5 Oct 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.05 | −5.24 |
| M33 | Seattle Sounders · Away12 Oct 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.88 | −6.12 |
| M34 | St. Louis City · Away19 Oct 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.31 | −6.43 |
| M35 | Portland Timbers · Away23 Oct 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.17 | −7.60 |
| Total | 41 | −7.60 | |||