Points
73Points expected by the market
61.16Gap
+11.84Yield
+39.1%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 3 | 4 | −2.44 | −50.3% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 16 | 28 | −1.54 | −13.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 15 | 32 | +11.33 | +69.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 5 | 9 | +4.49 | +169.6% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 3 | 4 | −2.44 | −50.3% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 13 | 21 | −3.73 | −24.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 5 | 10 | +2.62 | +39.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 3 | 7 | +2.19 | +34.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 22 | +8.72 | +84.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 5 | 9 | +4.49 | +169.6% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Los Angeles Galaxy · Away24 Feb 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +2.24 | +2.24 |
| M2 | St. Louis City · Home2 Mar 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.67 | +1.57 |
| M3 | Real Salt Lake · Away9 Mar 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +2.11 | +3.68 |
| M4 | Columbus Crew · Home16 Mar 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.49 | +3.20 |
| M5 | Austin FC · Away23 Mar 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.96 | +2.24 |
| M6 | Los Angeles FC · Home30 Mar 2025 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.53 | +3.77 |
| M7 | Seattle Sounders · Home6 Apr 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.44 | +5.21 |
| M8 | Colorado Rapids · Away13 Apr 2025 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.40 | +3.82 |
| M9 | Charlotte · Away20 Apr 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.17 | +2.65 |
| M10 | Real Salt Lake · Home27 Apr 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.93 | +0.72 |
| M11 | FC Dallas · Home4 May 2025 | W 5-0 | 3 | +1.12 | +1.84 |
| M12 | St. Louis City · Away11 May 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.46 | +3.30 |
| M13 | Colorado Rapids · Home15 May 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.94 | +4.23 |
| M14 | Sporting Kansas City · Home18 May 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −1.16 | +3.07 |
| M15 | Los Angeles Galaxy · Home24 May 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.13 | +4.21 |
| M16 | Seattle Sounders · Away29 May 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.96 | +3.24 |
| M17 | Austin FC · Home1 Jun 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.96 | +4.21 |
| M18 | Minnesota United · Away15 Jun 2025 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.81 | +6.01 |
| M19 | Vancouver Whitecaps · Away26 Jun 2025 | W 5-3 | 3 | +1.81 | +7.83 |
| M20 | FC Dallas · Away29 Jun 2025 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.43 | +9.26 |
| M21 | Houston Dynamo · Home6 Jul 2025 | L 3-4 | 0 | −2.00 | +7.26 |
| M22 | Chicago Fire · Away13 Jul 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.63 | +8.89 |
| M23 | Toronto FC · Home17 Jul 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −2.19 | +6.70 |
| M24 | Vancouver Whitecaps · Home20 Jul 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.67 | +6.03 |
| M25 | Nashville SC · Home26 Jul 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.53 | +7.57 |
| M26 | Sporting Kansas City · Away10 Aug 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.31 | +8.88 |
| M27 | San Jose Earthquakes · Away18 Aug 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.87 | +10.75 |
| M28 | Portland Timbers · Home24 Aug 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.95 | +9.80 |
| M29 | Los Angeles FC · Away1 Sep 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.05 | +11.85 |
| M30 | Minnesota United · Home14 Sep 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.86 | +9.99 |
| M31 | Atlanta United · Away20 Sep 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.37 | +9.62 |
| M32 | San Jose Earthquakes · Home28 Sep 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.88 | +7.74 |
| M33 | Houston Dynamo · Away5 Oct 2025 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.54 | +9.29 |
| M34 | Portland Timbers · Away19 Oct 2025 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.53 | +10.81 |
| M35 | Portland Timbers · Home27 Oct 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.02 | +11.84 |
| M36 | Portland Timbers · Away2 Nov 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.55 | +11.29 |
| M37 | Portland Timbers · Home10 Nov 2025 | W 4-0 | 3 | +0.92 | +12.20 |
| M38 | Minnesota United · Home25 Nov 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.04 | +13.24 |
| M39 | Vancouver Whitecaps · Home30 Nov 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.40 | +11.84 |
| Total | 73 | +11.84 | |||