Points
41Points expected by the market
43.47Gap
−2.47Yield
−8.0%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 11 | 13 | −6.12 | −45.1% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 11 | 18 | +3.98 | +23.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 12 | 10 | −0.33 | −3.2% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 11 | 13 | −6.12 | −45.1% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 8 | +0.01 | −18.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 5 | 10 | +3.96 | +74.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 12 | 10 | −0.33 | −3.2% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Real Salt Lake · Home23 Feb 2025 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.44 | +1.44 |
| M2 | Sporting Kansas City · Away2 Mar 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.97 | +3.41 |
| M3 | Minnesota United · Home9 Mar 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.45 | +1.96 |
| M4 | Colorado Rapids · Home16 Mar 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.67 | +0.29 |
| M5 | Charlotte · Away22 Mar 2025 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.79 | −0.50 |
| M6 | Seattle Sounders · Home30 Mar 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.15 | −0.65 |
| M7 | DC United · Home6 Apr 2025 | W 6-1 | 3 | +1.43 | +0.78 |
| M8 | Los Angeles FC · Away13 Apr 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.84 | −0.06 |
| M9 | Sporting Kansas City · Home20 Apr 2025 | L 3-5 | 0 | −1.72 | −1.78 |
| M10 | Columbus Crew · Away27 Apr 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.67 | −2.45 |
| M11 | Portland Timbers · Home4 May 2025 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.50 | −0.95 |
| M12 | Colorado Rapids · Away11 May 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +2.03 | +1.08 |
| M13 | Inter Miami · Home15 May 2025 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.38 | +0.69 |
| M14 | New England Revolution · Away18 May 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.21 | +0.90 |
| M15 | Houston Dynamo · Home25 May 2025 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.56 | +0.34 |
| M16 | Los Angeles Galaxy · Away29 May 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.80 | +2.14 |
| M17 | St. Louis City · Away31 May 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.92 | +1.22 |
| M18 | Portland Timbers · Away14 Jun 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.25 | +0.97 |
| M19 | FC Dallas · Away26 Jun 2025 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.64 | +2.62 |
| M20 | Los Angeles Galaxy · Home29 Jun 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.88 | +1.74 |
| M21 | New York Red Bulls · Home6 Jul 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.75 | +0.98 |
| M22 | Minnesota United · Away13 Jul 2025 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.02 | −0.03 |
| M23 | FC Dallas · Home17 Jul 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −1.03 | −1.06 |
| M24 | Seattle Sounders · Away20 Jul 2025 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.75 | −1.81 |
| M25 | Real Salt Lake · Away27 Jul 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.99 | −2.80 |
| M26 | Vancouver Whitecaps · Home10 Aug 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.66 | −1.14 |
| M27 | San Diego FC · Home18 Aug 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.63 | −2.77 |
| M28 | Houston Dynamo · Away24 Aug 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.88 | −0.90 |
| M29 | Austin FC · Away31 Aug 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.11 | −2.00 |
| M30 | Los Angeles FC · Home14 Sep 2025 | L 2-4 | 0 | −1.16 | −3.16 |
| M31 | St. Louis City · Home21 Sep 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.86 | −5.02 |
| M32 | San Diego FC · Away28 Sep 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.09 | −2.93 |
| M33 | Vancouver Whitecaps · Away5 Oct 2025 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.66 | −3.59 |
| M34 | Austin FC · Home19 Oct 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.12 | −2.47 |
| Total | 41 | −2.47 | |||