Points
28Points expected by the market
37.72Gap
−9.72Yield
−38.1%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 4 | 3 | −3.65 | −47.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 12 | 14 | −2.24 | −39.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 18 | 11 | −3.82 | −35.2% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 4 | 3 | −3.65 | −47.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 12 | 14 | −2.24 | −39.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 0 | −0.94 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 17 | 11 | −2.88 | −31.4% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Austin FC · Away23 Feb 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.88 | −0.88 |
| M2 | San Jose Earthquakes · Home2 Mar 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.71 | −2.59 |
| M3 | DC United · Away9 Mar 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.03 | −3.62 |
| M4 | Minnesota United · Home16 Mar 2025 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.45 | −4.07 |
| M5 | Los Angeles FC · Home23 Mar 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.29 | −5.35 |
| M6 | FC Dallas · Away30 Mar 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.96 | −6.31 |
| M7 | St. Louis City · Home6 Apr 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.37 | −4.94 |
| M8 | Portland Timbers · Home13 Apr 2025 | L 2-4 | 0 | −1.65 | −6.59 |
| M9 | San Jose Earthquakes · Away20 Apr 2025 | W 5-3 | 3 | +1.96 | −4.63 |
| M10 | FC Cincinnati · Away26 Apr 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.76 | −5.39 |
| M11 | Los Angeles Galaxy · Home5 May 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.62 | −3.77 |
| M12 | Portland Timbers · Away11 May 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.81 | −4.58 |
| M13 | St. Louis City · Away15 May 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.05 | −4.63 |
| M14 | San Diego FC · Away18 May 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.36 | −4.27 |
| M15 | New England Revolution · Home25 May 2025 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.51 | −4.78 |
| M16 | Houston Dynamo · Away1 Jun 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +2.01 | −2.77 |
| M17 | Los Angeles FC · Away9 Jun 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.60 | −3.37 |
| M18 | FC Dallas · Home15 Jun 2025 | L 2-4 | 0 | −1.66 | −5.03 |
| M19 | Charlotte · Home26 Jun 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.61 | −3.42 |
| M20 | Real Salt Lake · Home29 Jun 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.40 | −3.83 |
| M21 | Colorado Rapids · Away5 Jul 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.11 | −1.72 |
| M22 | Seattle Sounders · Home13 Jul 2025 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.06 | −2.78 |
| M23 | New York City · Home20 Jul 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.33 | −3.11 |
| M24 | Vancouver Whitecaps · Away27 Jul 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.53 | −3.64 |
| M25 | San Diego FC · Home10 Aug 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.07 | −4.71 |
| M26 | Orlando City · Away17 Aug 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.64 | −5.35 |
| M27 | Seattle Sounders · Away25 Aug 2025 | L 2-5 | 0 | −0.75 | −6.09 |
| M28 | Colorado Rapids · Home31 Aug 2025 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.55 | −4.54 |
| M29 | Austin FC · Home8 Sep 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.50 | −6.05 |
| M30 | Real Salt Lake · Away14 Sep 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.69 | −6.74 |
| M31 | Vancouver Whitecaps · Home21 Sep 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.94 | −7.68 |
| M32 | Los Angeles Galaxy · Away28 Sep 2025 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.91 | −8.59 |
| M33 | Minnesota United · Away5 Oct 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.72 | −9.31 |
| M34 | Houston Dynamo · Home19 Oct 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.41 | −9.72 |
| Total | 28 | −9.72 | |||