← MLS 2025

Toronto FC

Season 2025 · 34 matches played

Last 5DDDLW

Points

32

Points expected by the market

34.13

Gap

−2.13

Yield

−29.6%

Market film

Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below

The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.

M1M5M10M15M20M25M30

Performance by odds

Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.

Odds bandMatches playedMPPointsPtsExpectedGapYield
Heavy favourite under 1.50 0 — — — —
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches 2 1 3.27 −2.27 −100.0%
Even 2.20 – 3.49 11 12 14.31 −2.31 −24.7%
Underdog 3.50 or more 21 19 16.55 +2.45 −25.4%

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.

Match by match

MOpponentDateResultRes. Odds to winExpectedPointsPtsGap Running total€1 bet
M1 DC United · Away23 Feb 2025 23 Feb 2025 D 2-2 3.97 0.98 1 +0.02 +0.02 −€1.00
M2 Orlando City · Away2 Mar 2025 2 Mar 2025 L 2-4 4.99 0.82 0 −0.82 −0.80 −€1.00
M3 FC Cincinnati · Away9 Mar 2025 9 Mar 2025 L 0-2 5.30 0.77 0 −0.77 −1.57 −€1.00
M4 Chicago Fire · Home15 Mar 2025 15 Mar 2025 L 1-2 2.18 1.57 0 −1.57 −3.14 −€1.00
M5 New York Red Bulls · Away22 Mar 2025 22 Mar 2025 L 1-2 5.48 0.79 0 −0.79 −3.93 −€1.00
M6 Vancouver Whitecaps · Home29 Mar 2025 29 Mar 2025 D 0-0 2.94 1.24 1 −0.24 −4.17 −€1.00
M7 Inter Miami · Away7 Apr 2025 7 Apr 2025 D 1-1 7.79 0.55 1 +0.45 −3.72 −€1.00
M8 Minnesota United · Home12 Apr 2025 12 Apr 2025 D 0-0 3.01 1.21 1 −0.21 −3.93 −€1.00
M9 Real Salt Lake · Away20 Apr 2025 20 Apr 2025 W 1-0 4.65 0.87 3 +2.13 −1.81 +€3.65
M10 New York City · Home26 Apr 2025 26 Apr 2025 L 0-1 2.82 1.32 0 −1.32 −3.13 −€1.00
M11 New England Revolution · Home3 May 2025 3 May 2025 L 0-2 2.42 1.48 0 −1.48 −4.60 −€1.00
M12 DC United · Home10 May 2025 10 May 2025 W 2-0 2.39 1.47 3 +1.53 −3.07 +€1.39
M13 FC Cincinnati · Home15 May 2025 15 May 2025 L 0-1 2.66 1.36 0 −1.36 −4.43 −€1.00
M14 CF Montreal · Away17 May 2025 17 May 2025 W 6-1 4.39 0.90 3 +2.10 −2.33 +€3.39
M15 Nashville SC · Home25 May 2025 25 May 2025 L 1-2 3.11 1.20 0 −1.20 −3.53 −€1.00
M16 Philadelphia Union · Home29 May 2025 29 May 2025 L 1-2 3.97 0.98 0 −0.98 −4.51 −€1.00
M17 Charlotte · Home1 Jun 2025 1 Jun 2025 L 0-2 3.24 1.16 0 −1.16 −5.67 −€1.00
M18 New York Red Bulls · Home26 Jun 2025 26 Jun 2025 D 1-1 3.71 1.03 1 −0.03 −5.70 −€1.00
M19 Portland Timbers · Home29 Jun 2025 29 Jun 2025 W 3-0 2.81 1.27 3 +1.73 −3.97 +€1.81
M20 New York City · Away4 Jul 2025 4 Jul 2025 L 1-3 5.28 0.75 0 −0.75 −4.72 −€1.00
M21 Atlanta United · Home13 Jul 2025 13 Jul 2025 D 1-1 2.39 1.44 1 −0.44 −5.16 −€1.00
M22 San Diego FC · Away17 Jul 2025 17 Jul 2025 W 1-0 6.62 0.62 3 +2.38 −2.77 +€5.62
M23 Nashville SC · Away20 Jul 2025 20 Jul 2025 L 0-1 9.00 0.49 0 −0.49 −3.27 −€1.00
M24 Charlotte · Away27 Jul 2025 27 Jul 2025 L 0-2 5.51 0.72 0 −0.72 −3.99 −€1.00
M25 Philadelphia Union · Away10 Aug 2025 10 Aug 2025 D 1-1 7.37 0.57 1 +0.43 −3.55 −€1.00
M26 Columbus Crew · Home17 Aug 2025 17 Aug 2025 D 1-1 3.76 0.99 1 +0.01 −3.55 −€1.00
M27 Atlanta United · Away24 Aug 2025 24 Aug 2025 D 0-0 4.27 0.89 1 +0.11 −3.44 −€1.00
M28 CF Montreal · Home31 Aug 2025 31 Aug 2025 D 1-1 1.91 1.71 1 −0.71 −4.14 −€1.00
M29 New England Revolution · Away14 Sep 2025 14 Sep 2025 D 1-1 3.89 0.96 1 +0.04 −4.10 −€1.00
M30 Columbus Crew · Away21 Sep 2025 21 Sep 2025 D 1-1 6.13 0.65 1 +0.35 −3.75 −€1.00
M31 Inter Miami · Home27 Sep 2025 27 Sep 2025 D 1-1 4.57 0.83 1 +0.17 −3.58 −€1.00
M32 Chicago Fire · Away5 Oct 2025 5 Oct 2025 D 2-2 5.47 0.73 1 +0.27 −3.31 −€1.00
M33 Los Angeles FC · Away9 Oct 2025 9 Oct 2025 L 0-2 6.19 0.66 0 −0.66 −3.97 −€1.00
M34 Orlando City · Home18 Oct 2025 18 Oct 2025 W 4-2 3.08 1.16 3 +1.84 −2.13 +€2.08
Total 34.13 32 −2.13 −€10.06