Points
71Points expected by the market
61.31Gap
+9.69Yield
+21.9%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 6 | 15 | +1.58 | +14.8% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 13 | 23 | −0.27 | −18.4% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 17 | 24 | +2.12 | −0.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 9 | +6.26 | +335.3% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 6 | 15 | +1.58 | +14.8% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 11 | 19 | −0.69 | −19.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 2 | 4 | +1.27 | +58.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 4 | +0.41 | −12.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 15 | 20 | +0.85 | −7.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 9 | +6.26 | +335.3% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Portland Timbers · Away23 Feb 2025 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.64 | +1.64 |
| M2 | Los Angeles Galaxy · Home2 Mar 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.02 | +2.66 |
| M3 | CF Montreal · Home9 Mar 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.73 | +3.39 |
| M4 | FC Dallas · Away16 Mar 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.77 | +5.16 |
| M5 | Chicago Fire · Home23 Mar 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.76 | +3.40 |
| M6 | Toronto FC · Away29 Mar 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.48 | +2.92 |
| M7 | Colorado Rapids · Home6 Apr 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.06 | +3.98 |
| M8 | Austin FC · Home13 Apr 2025 | W 5-1 | 3 | +1.24 | +5.22 |
| M9 | St. Louis City · Away20 Apr 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.44 | +4.78 |
| M10 | Minnesota United · Away27 Apr 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +2.23 | +7.01 |
| M11 | Real Salt Lake · Home4 May 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.10 | +8.11 |
| M12 | Los Angeles FC · Home12 May 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.67 | +7.44 |
| M13 | Austin FC · Away18 May 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.47 | +6.97 |
| M14 | Real Salt Lake · Away25 May 2025 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.70 | +8.67 |
| M15 | Minnesota United · Home29 May 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.56 | +8.11 |
| M16 | Seattle Sounders · Home9 Jun 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.83 | +9.94 |
| M17 | Columbus Crew · Away15 Jun 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.14 | +8.80 |
| M18 | San Diego FC · Home26 Jun 2025 | L 3-5 | 0 | −1.54 | +7.26 |
| M19 | Los Angeles FC · Away30 Jun 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.09 | +9.34 |
| M20 | Los Angeles Galaxy · Away5 Jul 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.22 | +8.12 |
| M21 | Colorado Rapids · Away13 Jul 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.34 | +6.79 |
| M22 | Houston Dynamo · Away17 Jul 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.95 | +8.73 |
| M23 | San Diego FC · Away20 Jul 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.08 | +8.66 |
| M24 | Sporting Kansas City · Home27 Jul 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.70 | +9.35 |
| M25 | San Jose Earthquakes · Away10 Aug 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.41 | +7.95 |
| M26 | Houston Dynamo · Home18 Aug 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.92 | +7.03 |
| M27 | St. Louis City · Home24 Aug 2025 | W 3-2 | 3 | +0.86 | +7.89 |
| M28 | Philadelphia Union · Home14 Sep 2025 | W 7-0 | 3 | +1.29 | +9.18 |
| M29 | Sporting Kansas City · Away21 Sep 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.17 | +10.35 |
| M30 | Portland Timbers · Home25 Sep 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.93 | +9.42 |
| M31 | Seattle Sounders · Away28 Sep 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.06 | +9.35 |
| M32 | San Jose Earthquakes · Home5 Oct 2025 | W 4-1 | 3 | +0.85 | +10.20 |
| M33 | Orlando City · Away12 Oct 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.76 | +11.96 |
| M34 | FC Dallas · Home19 Oct 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −2.32 | +9.64 |
| M35 | FC Dallas · Home26 Oct 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.77 | +10.41 |
| M36 | FC Dallas · Away2 Nov 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.76 | +9.65 |
| M37 | Los Angeles FC · Home23 Nov 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.58 | +9.07 |
| M38 | San Diego FC · Away30 Nov 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.67 | +10.74 |
| M39 | Inter Miami · Away6 Dec 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.05 | +9.69 |
| Total | 71 | +9.69 | |||