Points
30Points expected by the market
36.69Gap
−6.69Yield
−25.9%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 7 | 10 | −1.44 | −18.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 14 | 13 | −4.80 | −42.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 9 | 7 | −0.46 | −6.3% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 7 | 10 | −1.44 | −18.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 4 | −6.56 | −69.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 9 | +1.76 | −6.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 9 | 7 | −0.46 | −6.3% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | FC Cincinnati · Away21 Feb 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.04 | −1.04 |
| M2 | San Jose Earthquakes · Away1 Mar 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.03 | −2.07 |
| M3 | Real Salt Lake · Home8 Mar 2026 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.58 | −3.65 |
| M4 | Philadelphia Union · Home14 Mar 2026 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.59 | −2.06 |
| M5 | DC United · Home21 Mar 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.62 | −2.68 |
| M6 | Columbus Crew · Home5 Apr 2026 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.25 | −3.93 |
| M7 | Chicago Fire · Away12 Apr 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.72 | −4.65 |
| M8 | Nashville SC · Home19 Apr 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.14 | −5.79 |
| M9 | New England Revolution · Home23 Apr 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.41 | −7.20 |
| M10 | Toronto FC · Away25 Apr 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.06 | −5.14 |
| M11 | CF Montreal · Home3 May 2026 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.38 | −3.76 |
| M12 | Los Angeles Galaxy · Home10 May 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.49 | −5.25 |
| M13 | Orlando City · Away17 May 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.16 | −5.41 |
| M14 | Columbus Crew · Away24 May 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.79 | −6.19 |
| M15 | Nashville SC · Away18 Jul 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.75 | −6.95 |
| M16 | Charlotte · Away23 Jul 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.14 | −7.09 |
| M17 | New England Revolution · Away26 Jul 2026 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.18 | −8.26 |
| M18 | Philadelphia Union · Away2 Aug 2026 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.78 | −9.04 |
| M19 | New York Red Bulls · Home16 Aug 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.40 | −7.64 |
| M20 | Minnesota United · Away20 Aug 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.14 | −5.51 |
| M21 | Sporting Kansas City · Home24 Aug 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.08 | −4.43 |
| M22 | Charlotte · Home30 Aug 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.43 | −5.86 |
| M23 | Inter Miami · Away6 Sep 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.46 | −5.40 |
| M24 | Orlando City · Home10 Sep 2026 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.57 | −6.97 |
| M25 | DC United · Away13 Sep 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.25 | −7.22 |
| M26 | Portland Timbers · Away20 Sep 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.90 | −5.32 |
| M27 | New York City · Home27 Sep 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.40 | −5.72 |
| M28 | FC Cincinnati · Home11 Oct 2026 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.52 | −7.24 |
| M29 | CF Montreal · Away15 Oct 2026 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.58 | −5.65 |
| M30 | Inter Miami · Home18 Oct 2026 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.04 | −6.69 |
| Total | 30 | −6.69 | |||