Points
31Points expected by the market
31.85Gap
−0.85Yield
−7.9%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 3 | −0.76 | −4.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 14 | +0.38 | −23.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 18 | 14 | −0.47 | +0.2% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 3 | −0.76 | −4.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 13 | +0.48 | −14.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 2 | −1.35 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 1 | 1 | −0.10 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 14 | 12 | +0.88 | +28.9% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Minnesota United · Home22 Feb 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.51 | −0.51 |
| M2 | DC United · Home1 Mar 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.27 | +0.76 |
| M3 | Charlotte · Away8 Mar 2026 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.06 | −0.30 |
| M4 | Real Salt Lake · Away15 Mar 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.86 | −1.17 |
| M5 | Los Angeles FC · Home22 Mar 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.10 | −1.07 |
| M6 | Inter Miami · Away5 Apr 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.44 | −0.63 |
| M7 | Los Angeles Galaxy · Home11 Apr 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.46 | −2.09 |
| M8 | Toronto FC · Away18 Apr 2026 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.10 | −2.19 |
| M9 | San Jose Earthquakes · Away23 Apr 2026 | L 1-5 | 0 | −0.67 | −2.86 |
| M10 | Houston Dynamo · Home26 Apr 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.68 | −1.18 |
| M11 | St. Louis City · Home3 May 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.62 | +0.44 |
| M12 | Minnesota United · Away11 May 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.11 | +0.55 |
| M13 | San Diego FC · Away14 May 2026 | L 0-5 | 0 | −0.90 | −0.35 |
| M14 | Sporting Kansas City · Home17 May 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −2.02 | −2.37 |
| M15 | St. Louis City · Away23 May 2026 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.88 | −3.26 |
| M16 | Seattle Sounders · Home23 Jul 2026 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.64 | −1.62 |
| M17 | Houston Dynamo · Away26 Jul 2026 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.87 | −2.48 |
| M18 | Colorado Rapids · Away2 Aug 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.91 | −3.40 |
| M19 | FC Dallas · Home17 Aug 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.29 | −4.68 |
| M20 | Seattle Sounders · Away20 Aug 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.26 | −2.42 |
| M21 | Philadelphia Union · Home23 Aug 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.11 | −2.31 |
| M22 | Portland Timbers · Away30 Aug 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.10 | −0.21 |
| M23 | San Jose Earthquakes · Home6 Sep 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.47 | −0.68 |
| M24 | Colorado Rapids · Home10 Sep 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.45 | −1.13 |
| M25 | Vancouver Whitecaps · Away13 Sep 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.52 | +1.40 |
| M26 | FC Dallas · Away20 Sep 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.16 | +1.56 |
| M27 | San Diego FC · Home27 Sep 2026 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.29 | +1.27 |
| M28 | Nashville SC · Home11 Oct 2026 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.83 | +0.43 |
| M29 | Los Angeles FC · Away15 Oct 2026 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.56 | −0.12 |
| M30 | Vancouver Whitecaps · Home18 Oct 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.73 | −0.85 |
| Total | 31 | −0.85 | |||