Points
25Points expected by the market
33.96Gap
−8.96Yield
−33.8%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 5 | 7 | −1.16 | −61.6% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 13 | 11 | −5.46 | −36.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 12 | 7 | −2.33 | −19.8% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 5 | 7 | −1.16 | −61.6% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 10 | −3.21 | −16.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 3 | 1 | −2.26 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 12 | 7 | −2.33 | −19.8% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | San Diego FC · Away22 Feb 2026 | L 0-5 | 0 | −0.72 | −0.72 |
| M2 | Chicago Fire · Away28 Feb 2026 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.74 | −1.46 |
| M3 | New York Red Bulls · Away8 Mar 2026 | W 3-0 | 3 | +2.24 | +0.78 |
| M4 | Orlando City · Away14 Mar 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.99 | −0.20 |
| M5 | FC Cincinnati · Away22 Mar 2026 | L 3-4 | 0 | −0.87 | −1.08 |
| M6 | New England Revolution · Away4 Apr 2026 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.02 | −2.09 |
| M7 | Philadelphia Union · Home11 Apr 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.43 | −3.52 |
| M8 | New York Red Bulls · Home18 Apr 2026 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.70 | −1.82 |
| M9 | New York City · Home25 Apr 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.74 | −0.08 |
| M10 | Atlanta United · Away3 May 2026 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.12 | −1.20 |
| M11 | Orlando City · Home9 May 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.32 | +0.12 |
| M12 | Portland Timbers · Home14 May 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.57 | −0.46 |
| M13 | Chicago Fire · Home16 May 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.28 | −1.73 |
| M14 | DC United · Away24 May 2026 | D 4-4 | 1 | −0.07 | −1.81 |
| M15 | Toronto FC · Home17 Jul 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.52 | −2.33 |
| M16 | Nashville SC · Away23 Jul 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.71 | −3.04 |
| M17 | Inter Miami · Home26 Jul 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.17 | −4.20 |
| M18 | New England Revolution · Home2 Aug 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.60 | −4.81 |
| M19 | DC United · Home16 Aug 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.58 | −5.39 |
| M20 | Columbus Crew · Away20 Aug 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.14 | −3.25 |
| M21 | Los Angeles Galaxy · Home23 Aug 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.72 | −3.97 |
| M22 | Inter Miami · Away30 Aug 2026 | L 1-7 | 0 | −0.61 | −4.58 |
| M23 | Philadelphia Union · Away6 Sep 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.65 | −5.24 |
| M24 | Charlotte · Home10 Sep 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.33 | −6.57 |
| M25 | Colorado Rapids · Away13 Sep 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.81 | −7.38 |
| M26 | Columbus Crew · Home20 Sep 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.33 | −8.71 |
| M27 | FC Cincinnati · Home27 Sep 2026 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.73 | −6.98 |
| M28 | Toronto FC · Away10 Oct 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.07 | −8.04 |
| M29 | Atlanta United · Home15 Oct 2026 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.33 | −9.37 |
| M30 | Seattle Sounders · Away18 Oct 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.42 | −8.96 |
| Total | 25 | −8.96 | |||