Points
48Points expected by the market
47.38Gap
+0.62Yield
−5.2%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 3 | 6 | −0.58 | −9.7% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 8 | 15 | −0.41 | −0.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 17 | 26 | +2.55 | +4.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 1 | −0.95 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 3 | 6 | −0.58 | −9.7% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 8 | 15 | −0.41 | −0.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 4 | 7 | +1.47 | +29.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 13 | 19 | +1.08 | −3.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 1 | −0.95 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Houston Dynamo · Away22 Feb 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.24 | −1.24 |
| M2 | CF Montreal · Home28 Feb 2026 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.96 | −0.28 |
| M3 | Columbus Crew · Away8 Mar 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.01 | −0.27 |
| M4 | DC United · Home15 Mar 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −2.00 | −2.27 |
| M5 | Philadelphia Union · Away21 Mar 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.70 | −0.56 |
| M6 | Nashville SC · Home5 Apr 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.56 | +0.99 |
| M7 | Atlanta United · Home12 Apr 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.94 | +1.93 |
| M8 | FC Cincinnati · Away19 Apr 2026 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.37 | +1.56 |
| M9 | Sporting Kansas City · Home26 Apr 2026 | W 5-0 | 3 | +0.71 | +2.27 |
| M10 | FC Cincinnati · Home3 May 2026 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.88 | +0.39 |
| M11 | New York Red Bulls · Home9 May 2026 | L 1-3 | 0 | −2.10 | −1.71 |
| M12 | DC United · Away14 May 2026 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.51 | −0.20 |
| M13 | CF Montreal · Away16 May 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.53 | +1.33 |
| M14 | Toronto FC · Home24 May 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.81 | +2.14 |
| M15 | Inter Miami · Away23 Jul 2026 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.39 | +0.75 |
| M16 | New York City · Away26 Jul 2026 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.31 | −0.56 |
| M17 | Charlotte · Home2 Aug 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.94 | +0.39 |
| M18 | Portland Timbers · Home16 Aug 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.09 | +1.48 |
| M19 | Orlando City · Away20 Aug 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.56 | +3.03 |
| M20 | New York Red Bulls · Away23 Aug 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.37 | +2.66 |
| M21 | Seattle Sounders · Away29 Aug 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.50 | +2.16 |
| M22 | Toronto FC · Away6 Sep 2026 | D 4-4 | 1 | −0.45 | +1.71 |
| M23 | Inter Miami · Home10 Sep 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.45 | +1.26 |
| M24 | New England Revolution · Home13 Sep 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.68 | −0.41 |
| M25 | Nashville SC · Away20 Sep 2026 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.96 | −1.37 |
| M26 | Charlotte · Away27 Sep 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.78 | +0.41 |
| M27 | Vancouver Whitecaps · Home7 Oct 2026 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.75 | +2.16 |
| M28 | New York City · Home10 Oct 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.21 | +3.38 |
| M29 | Philadelphia Union · Home15 Oct 2026 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.38 | +2.00 |
| M30 | New England Revolution · Away18 Oct 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.38 | +0.62 |
| Total | 48 | +0.62 | |||