Points
39Points expected by the market
39.66Gap
−0.66Yield
−20.1%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.88 | +45.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 13 | 27 | +5.03 | +20.1% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 4 | −4.26 | −63.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 9 | 5 | −2.31 | −51.2% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.88 | +45.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 13 | 27 | +5.03 | +20.1% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 1 | 0 | −1.24 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 4 | −3.02 | −57.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 9 | 5 | −2.31 | −51.2% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Seattle Sounders · Away23 Feb 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.56 | −0.56 |
| M2 | Portland Timbers · Home28 Feb 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.41 | +0.86 |
| M3 | Los Angeles Galaxy · Home8 Mar 2026 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.46 | +2.31 |
| M4 | New York City · Away14 Mar 2026 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.67 | +1.64 |
| M5 | Sporting Kansas City · Away22 Mar 2026 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.63 | +3.28 |
| M6 | Toronto FC · Away4 Apr 2026 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.07 | +2.21 |
| M7 | Houston Dynamo · Home12 Apr 2026 | W 6-2 | 3 | +1.42 | +3.63 |
| M8 | Inter Miami · Home18 Apr 2026 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.24 | +2.39 |
| M9 | Los Angeles FC · Away23 Apr 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.36 | +2.75 |
| M10 | Vancouver Whitecaps · Away26 Apr 2026 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.56 | +2.18 |
| M11 | Houston Dynamo · Away3 May 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.03 | +1.15 |
| M12 | St. Louis City · Home10 May 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.69 | −0.54 |
| M13 | Minnesota United · Away14 May 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.13 | +1.60 |
| M14 | Real Salt Lake · Away17 May 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.90 | +0.70 |
| M15 | FC Dallas · Home24 May 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.53 | −0.83 |
| M16 | San Diego FC · Home23 Jul 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.29 | +0.47 |
| M17 | St. Louis City · Away26 Jul 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.05 | −0.58 |
| M18 | Austin FC · Home2 Aug 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.16 | +0.57 |
| M19 | Sporting Kansas City · Home16 Aug 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.88 | +1.45 |
| M20 | Los Angeles FC · Home20 Aug 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.40 | +2.85 |
| M21 | San Diego FC · Away23 Aug 2026 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.10 | +1.74 |
| M22 | Real Salt Lake · Home30 Aug 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.30 | +3.04 |
| M23 | Columbus Crew · Away6 Sep 2026 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.05 | +1.99 |
| M24 | Austin FC · Away10 Sep 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.28 | +1.71 |
| M25 | CF Montreal · Home13 Sep 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.04 | +2.75 |
| M26 | Seattle Sounders · Home20 Sep 2026 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.74 | +2.01 |
| M27 | Los Angeles Galaxy · Away27 Sep 2026 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.15 | +0.86 |
| M28 | San Jose Earthquakes · Home11 Oct 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.73 | +0.14 |
| M29 | Minnesota United · Home15 Oct 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.76 | −0.63 |
| M30 | Portland Timbers · Away18 Oct 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.03 | −0.66 |
| Total | 39 | −0.66 | |||