Points
35Points expected by the market
46.49Gap
−11.49Yield
−28.6%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 1 | −1.19 | −100.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 15 | 20 | −6.62 | −28.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 12 | 13 | −3.04 | −11.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 1 | −0.65 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 1 | −1.19 | −100.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 12 | 19 | −2.63 | −10.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 2 | 3 | +0.34 | +62.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 3 | 1 | −3.99 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 10 | −3.38 | −26.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 1 | −0.65 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Portland Timbers · Away22 Feb 2026 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.45 | −1.45 |
| M2 | Sporting Kansas City · Away1 Mar 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.91 | −2.36 |
| M3 | Chicago Fire · Home8 Mar 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.76 | −3.12 |
| M4 | Nashville SC · Home14 Mar 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.96 | −5.08 |
| M5 | Toronto FC · Away21 Mar 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.54 | −6.62 |
| M6 | Atlanta United · Away5 Apr 2026 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.52 | −5.10 |
| M7 | Orlando City · Home13 Apr 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.19 | −6.29 |
| M8 | New England Revolution · Away19 Apr 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.54 | −7.83 |
| M9 | Los Angeles Galaxy · Home23 Apr 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.08 | −6.75 |
| M10 | Philadelphia Union · Home26 Apr 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.24 | −5.51 |
| M11 | Minnesota United · Home3 May 2026 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.83 | −7.34 |
| M12 | New York City · Away10 May 2026 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.32 | −8.66 |
| M13 | New York Red Bulls · Away14 May 2026 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.43 | −10.09 |
| M14 | Philadelphia Union · Away17 May 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.28 | −10.37 |
| M15 | Atlanta United · Home24 May 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.01 | −9.36 |
| M16 | New York City · Home23 Jul 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.54 | −10.90 |
| M17 | FC Cincinnati · Home26 Jul 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.43 | −9.47 |
| M18 | Inter Miami · Away2 Aug 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.19 | −9.28 |
| M19 | Charlotte · Away16 Aug 2026 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.14 | −10.43 |
| M20 | CF Montreal · Home20 Aug 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.91 | −12.33 |
| M21 | Nashville SC · Away23 Aug 2026 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.84 | −13.17 |
| M22 | New England Revolution · Home30 Aug 2026 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.51 | −14.68 |
| M23 | Colorado Rapids · Home6 Sep 2026 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.31 | −13.37 |
| M24 | DC United · Away10 Sep 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.35 | −14.72 |
| M25 | New York Red Bulls · Home13 Sep 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.85 | −16.58 |
| M26 | CF Montreal · Away20 Sep 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.59 | −14.99 |
| M27 | Inter Miami · Home28 Sep 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.85 | −13.13 |
| M28 | Orlando City · Away11 Oct 2026 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.25 | −14.38 |
| M29 | Charlotte · Home15 Oct 2026 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.15 | −13.23 |
| M30 | FC Cincinnati · Away18 Oct 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.73 | −11.49 |
| Total | 35 | −11.49 | |||