Points
33Points expected by the market
34.10Gap
−1.10Yield
−29.8%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 5 | 8 | −0.32 | −25.6% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 13 | +0.04 | −21.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 15 | 12 | −0.82 | −36.9% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 5 | 8 | −0.32 | −25.6% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 11 | +0.30 | −1.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 1 | −0.85 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 2 | 2 | −0.26 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 13 | 11 | +0.03 | −27.2% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Philadelphia Union · Home22 Feb 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.78 | +1.78 |
| M2 | Austin FC · Away1 Mar 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.99 | +0.78 |
| M3 | Inter Miami · Home7 Mar 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.85 | −0.07 |
| M4 | Chicago Fire · Away15 Mar 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.23 | +2.17 |
| M5 | Atlanta United · Away21 Mar 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.10 | +2.06 |
| M6 | FC Dallas · Home5 Apr 2026 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.55 | +0.52 |
| M7 | New England Revolution · Away12 Apr 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.01 | −0.50 |
| M8 | Philadelphia Union · Away19 Apr 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.12 | −0.38 |
| M9 | New York Red Bulls · Away23 Apr 2026 | D 4-4 | 1 | +0.02 | −0.36 |
| M10 | Orlando City · Home26 Apr 2026 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.15 | +0.79 |
| M11 | New York City · Away3 May 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +2.08 | +2.88 |
| M12 | Nashville SC · Away10 May 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.13 | +3.01 |
| M13 | Chicago Fire · Home14 May 2026 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.24 | +1.76 |
| M14 | St. Louis City · Home17 May 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.60 | +1.16 |
| M15 | CF Montreal · Home24 May 2026 | D 4-4 | 1 | −0.67 | +0.49 |
| M16 | Houston Dynamo · Away23 Jul 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.08 | +0.57 |
| M17 | Toronto FC · Home26 Jul 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.35 | +1.92 |
| M18 | Nashville SC · Home2 Aug 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.27 | +1.65 |
| M19 | CF Montreal · Away16 Aug 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.16 | +1.49 |
| M20 | New England Revolution · Home20 Aug 2026 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.39 | +0.10 |
| M21 | Charlotte · Away23 Aug 2026 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.93 | −0.83 |
| M22 | Los Angeles FC · Home30 Aug 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | 0.00 | −0.83 |
| M23 | Columbus Crew · Home10 Sep 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.61 | +0.78 |
| M24 | Atlanta United · Home13 Sep 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.50 | +0.29 |
| M25 | Charlotte · Home20 Sep 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.30 | −1.02 |
| M26 | Vancouver Whitecaps · Away27 Sep 2026 | D 3-3 | 1 | +0.57 | −0.45 |
| M27 | Inter Miami · Away11 Oct 2026 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.61 | −1.06 |
| M28 | New York Red Bulls · Home15 Oct 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.61 | +0.55 |
| M29 | Orlando City · Away18 Oct 2026 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.88 | −0.33 |
| M30 | FC Cincinnati · Away22 Oct 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.77 | −1.10 |
| Total | 33 | −1.10 | |||