Points
39Points expected by the market
41.99Gap
−2.99Yield
−25.5%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 11 | 22 | +2.26 | +10.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 15 | 13 | −5.59 | −59.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 4 | +0.34 | +1.8% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 11 | 22 | +2.26 | +10.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 4 | 5 | −0.08 | −15.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 11 | 8 | −5.51 | −74.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 4 | +0.34 | +1.8% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Atlanta United · Home21 Feb 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.30 | +1.30 |
| M2 | Minnesota United · Away28 Feb 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.19 | +0.11 |
| M3 | Toronto FC · Home8 Mar 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.89 | −1.77 |
| M4 | New England Revolution · Away15 Mar 2026 | L 1-6 | 0 | −1.24 | −3.01 |
| M5 | CF Montreal · Home22 Mar 2026 | W 4-3 | 3 | +1.11 | −1.91 |
| M6 | New York Red Bulls · Away5 Apr 2026 | L 2-4 | 0 | −1.06 | −2.97 |
| M7 | Toronto FC · Away11 Apr 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.29 | −3.26 |
| M8 | Chicago Fire · Home19 Apr 2026 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.37 | −3.63 |
| M9 | New York City · Away23 Apr 2026 | D 4-4 | 1 | +0.02 | −3.61 |
| M10 | New York Red Bulls · Home26 Apr 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.11 | −2.50 |
| M11 | Chicago Fire · Away3 May 2026 | W 3-2 | 3 | +2.10 | −0.40 |
| M12 | Charlotte · Away10 May 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.20 | −0.60 |
| M13 | Inter Miami · Home14 May 2026 | L 3-5 | 0 | −1.18 | −1.78 |
| M14 | San Diego FC · Away17 May 2026 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.08 | −1.86 |
| M15 | Orlando City · Home24 May 2026 | W 6-2 | 3 | +1.15 | −0.71 |
| M16 | Vancouver Whitecaps · Home23 Jul 2026 | W 4-3 | 3 | +1.95 | +1.24 |
| M17 | Columbus Crew · Away26 Jul 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.18 | +0.06 |
| M18 | San Jose Earthquakes · Home2 Aug 2026 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.27 | +1.32 |
| M19 | Orlando City · Away16 Aug 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.42 | +0.91 |
| M20 | New York City · Home20 Aug 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.26 | +2.17 |
| M21 | Seattle Sounders · Home23 Aug 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.00 | +1.17 |
| M22 | Nashville SC · Away30 Aug 2026 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.93 | +0.24 |
| M23 | Philadelphia Union · Away10 Sep 2026 | L 0-5 | 0 | −0.85 | −0.61 |
| M24 | Charlotte · Home13 Sep 2026 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.48 | −1.10 |
| M25 | Houston Dynamo · Away20 Sep 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.11 | −1.21 |
| M26 | CF Montreal · Away27 Sep 2026 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.49 | −2.70 |
| M27 | Atlanta United · Away11 Oct 2026 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.76 | −0.94 |
| M28 | New England Revolution · Home15 Oct 2026 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.52 | −2.46 |
| M29 | Columbus Crew · Home18 Oct 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.50 | −3.96 |
| M30 | DC United · Home22 Oct 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.97 | −2.99 |
| Total | 39 | −2.99 | |||