Points
51Points expected by the market
39.97Gap
+11.03Yield
+17.8%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.80 | +38.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 8 | 15 | +1.45 | −2.1% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 16 | 30 | +9.51 | +37.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 5 | 3 | −0.73 | −18.8% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.80 | +38.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 8 | 15 | +1.45 | −2.1% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 4 | 8 | +2.13 | +14.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 0 | −1.03 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 12 | 22 | +7.38 | +45.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 3 | +0.30 | +1.5% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Toronto FC · Home22 Feb 2026 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.32 | +1.32 |
| M2 | Nashville SC · Home1 Mar 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.34 | +0.99 |
| M3 | Los Angeles FC · Away8 Mar 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.51 | +0.48 |
| M4 | San Diego FC · Home15 Mar 2026 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.52 | −0.04 |
| M5 | Houston Dynamo · Home22 Mar 2026 | W 4-3 | 3 | +1.56 | +1.52 |
| M6 | DC United · Away5 Apr 2026 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.82 | +3.34 |
| M7 | St. Louis City · Home12 Apr 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.63 | +2.71 |
| M8 | Los Angeles Galaxy · Home19 Apr 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.64 | +2.07 |
| M9 | Minnesota United · Home23 Apr 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.65 | +0.43 |
| M10 | Seattle Sounders · Away26 Apr 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.71 | −0.28 |
| M11 | New York Red Bulls · Away3 May 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.66 | +1.38 |
| M12 | Real Salt Lake · Home10 May 2026 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.47 | +2.85 |
| M13 | Vancouver Whitecaps · Home14 May 2026 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.03 | +1.82 |
| M14 | San Jose Earthquakes · Away17 May 2026 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.90 | +3.72 |
| M15 | Colorado Rapids · Away24 May 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.78 | +5.50 |
| M16 | Portland Timbers · Away23 Jul 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.22 | +5.28 |
| M17 | San Diego FC · Away26 Jul 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.26 | +4.02 |
| M18 | Los Angeles Galaxy · Away2 Aug 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.30 | +3.73 |
| M19 | Austin FC · Away17 Aug 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.55 | +5.28 |
| M20 | Real Salt Lake · Away20 Aug 2026 | W 4-3 | 3 | +1.93 | +7.21 |
| M21 | Vancouver Whitecaps · Away23 Aug 2026 | L 0-5 | 0 | −0.57 | +6.64 |
| M22 | St. Louis City · Away31 Aug 2026 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.23 | +6.41 |
| M23 | Sporting Kansas City · Home6 Sep 2026 | W 4-3 | 3 | +0.80 | +7.21 |
| M24 | Minnesota United · Away10 Sep 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.08 | +9.29 |
| M25 | Portland Timbers · Home13 Sep 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.18 | +10.48 |
| M26 | Austin FC · Home20 Sep 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.94 | +9.54 |
| M27 | Los Angeles FC · Home27 Sep 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.43 | +10.97 |
| M28 | Charlotte · Away11 Oct 2026 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.16 | +9.80 |
| M29 | Seattle Sounders · Home15 Oct 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.33 | +11.13 |
| M30 | Houston Dynamo · Away18 Oct 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.10 | +11.03 |
| Total | 51 | +11.03 | |||