Points
55Points expected by the market
54.31Gap
+0.69Yield
−6.3%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 12 | 20 | −6.82 | −43.2% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 10 | 23 | +5.53 | +30.2% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 12 | +1.97 | +3.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 12 | 20 | −6.82 | −43.2% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 2 | −1.69 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.62 | +142.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 8 | 21 | +7.22 | +62.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 9 | +0.34 | −16.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Los Angeles FC · Away22 Feb 2026 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.07 | −1.07 |
| M2 | Orlando City · Away2 Mar 2026 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.19 | +0.12 |
| M3 | DC United · Away7 Mar 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.07 | +1.19 |
| M4 | Charlotte · Away14 Mar 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.20 | +0.99 |
| M5 | New York City · Away22 Mar 2026 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.80 | +2.80 |
| M6 | Austin FC · Home5 Apr 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −1.26 | +1.54 |
| M7 | New York Red Bulls · Home12 Apr 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −1.17 | +0.37 |
| M8 | Colorado Rapids · Away18 Apr 2026 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.48 | +1.85 |
| M9 | Real Salt Lake · Away23 Apr 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.79 | +3.64 |
| M10 | New England Revolution · Home26 Apr 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.16 | +2.48 |
| M11 | Orlando City · Home3 May 2026 | L 3-4 | 0 | −2.35 | +0.13 |
| M12 | Toronto FC · Away9 May 2026 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.04 | +1.17 |
| M13 | FC Cincinnati · Away14 May 2026 | W 5-3 | 3 | +1.40 | +2.57 |
| M14 | Portland Timbers · Home17 May 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.69 | +3.27 |
| M15 | Philadelphia Union · Home25 May 2026 | W 6-4 | 3 | +0.76 | +4.03 |
| M16 | Chicago Fire · Home23 Jul 2026 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.62 | +5.65 |
| M17 | CF Montreal · Away26 Jul 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.40 | +7.05 |
| M18 | Columbus Crew · Home2 Aug 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.97 | +6.08 |
| M19 | Nashville SC · Away16 Aug 2026 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.34 | +4.74 |
| M20 | Philadelphia Union · Away20 Aug 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.32 | +4.42 |
| M21 | Toronto FC · Home23 Aug 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −2.27 | +2.15 |
| M22 | CF Montreal · Home30 Aug 2026 | W 7-1 | 3 | +0.78 | +2.93 |
| M23 | Atlanta United · Home6 Sep 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −1.30 | +1.63 |
| M24 | Chicago Fire · Away10 Sep 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.32 | +1.31 |
| M25 | Nashville SC · Home13 Sep 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.72 | +0.59 |
| M26 | San Diego FC · Home21 Sep 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −1.25 | −0.66 |
| M27 | Columbus Crew · Away28 Sep 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.62 | −2.28 |
| M28 | DC United · Home11 Oct 2026 | W 4-0 | 3 | +0.79 | −1.50 |
| M29 | New York City · Home15 Oct 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.92 | −0.58 |
| M30 | Atlanta United · Away18 Oct 2026 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.26 | +0.69 |
| Total | 55 | +0.69 | |||