Points
46Points expected by the market
53.74Gap
−7.74Yield
−35.8%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 7 | 19 | +3.15 | +13.4% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 13 | 19 | −4.39 | −27.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 7 | −6.56 | −75.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 1 | +0.06 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 7 | 19 | +3.15 | +13.4% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 7 | 10 | −3.07 | −21.1% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 1 | 1 | −0.45 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | 9 | −1.32 | −33.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 6 | −6.11 | −72.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 1 | +0.06 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Inter Miami · Home22 Feb 2026 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.31 | +1.31 |
| M2 | Houston Dynamo · Away1 Mar 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.27 | +2.58 |
| M3 | FC Dallas · Home8 Mar 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.68 | +3.26 |
| M4 | St. Louis City · Home15 Mar 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.83 | +4.09 |
| M5 | Austin FC · Away22 Mar 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.85 | +3.23 |
| M6 | Orlando City · Home5 Apr 2026 | W 6-0 | 3 | +0.65 | +3.88 |
| M7 | Portland Timbers · Away11 Apr 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.48 | +2.40 |
| M8 | San Jose Earthquakes · Home20 Apr 2026 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.98 | +0.42 |
| M9 | Colorado Rapids · Home23 Apr 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −1.16 | −0.75 |
| M10 | Minnesota United · Away25 Apr 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.61 | +0.87 |
| M11 | San Diego FC · Away3 May 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.36 | +0.50 |
| M12 | Houston Dynamo · Home11 May 2026 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.91 | −1.41 |
| M13 | St. Louis City · Away14 May 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.44 | −2.84 |
| M14 | Nashville SC · Away18 May 2026 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.21 | −4.05 |
| M15 | Seattle Sounders · Home25 May 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.31 | −2.74 |
| M16 | Los Angeles Galaxy · Away18 Jul 2026 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.42 | −1.33 |
| M17 | Real Salt Lake · Home23 Jul 2026 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.12 | −0.21 |
| M18 | Sporting Kansas City · Home26 Jul 2026 | W 4-0 | 3 | +0.59 | +0.38 |
| M19 | Vancouver Whitecaps · Away2 Aug 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.06 | +0.45 |
| M20 | San Diego FC · Home16 Aug 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.97 | −1.53 |
| M21 | Colorado Rapids · Away20 Aug 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.14 | −2.67 |
| M22 | Portland Timbers · Home23 Aug 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.95 | −3.61 |
| M23 | DC United · Away30 Aug 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.75 | −4.36 |
| M24 | Real Salt Lake · Away6 Sep 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.48 | −4.84 |
| M25 | New York Red Bulls · Home10 Sep 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.83 | −4.01 |
| M26 | Sporting Kansas City · Away13 Sep 2026 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.80 | −5.81 |
| M27 | San Jose Earthquakes · Away20 Sep 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.61 | −6.42 |
| M28 | FC Dallas · Away27 Sep 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.15 | −7.57 |
| M29 | Vancouver Whitecaps · Home11 Oct 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.45 | −8.03 |
| M30 | Austin FC · Home15 Oct 2026 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.74 | −7.29 |
| M31 | New York City · Away18 Oct 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.45 | −7.74 |
| Total | 46 | −7.74 | |||