Points
40Points expected by the market
40.09Gap
−0.09Yield
−13.7%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 10 | 14 | −2.81 | −20.2% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 12 | 18 | +2.24 | −13.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 9 | 8 | +0.49 | −6.9% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 9 | 14 | −0.99 | −11.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 9 | +0.59 | −19.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 1 | 0.00 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 0 | −1.82 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 9 | +1.64 | −7.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 8 | 7 | +0.49 | +4.7% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | New York City · Home23 Feb 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.54 | −0.54 |
| M2 | Charlotte · Home1 Mar 2026 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.35 | +0.81 |
| M3 | Colorado Rapids · Away8 Mar 2026 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.21 | −0.40 |
| M4 | Sporting Kansas City · Home15 Mar 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −2.01 | −2.41 |
| M5 | Portland Timbers · Away22 Mar 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.38 | −2.79 |
| M6 | Minnesota United · Home5 Apr 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.71 | −4.51 |
| M7 | Austin FC · Away11 Apr 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.72 | −2.79 |
| M8 | FC Dallas · Away19 Apr 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.10 | −2.89 |
| M9 | Columbus Crew · Away23 Apr 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.85 | −3.74 |
| M10 | Real Salt Lake · Home27 Apr 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.59 | −2.15 |
| M11 | Vancouver Whitecaps · Home3 May 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | 0.00 | −2.15 |
| M12 | Atlanta United · Away10 May 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.75 | −0.40 |
| M13 | Sporting Kansas City · Away14 May 2026 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.82 | −2.22 |
| M14 | Seattle Sounders · Away17 May 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +2.11 | −0.11 |
| M15 | Houston Dynamo · Home24 May 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.54 | −0.65 |
| M16 | Los Angeles FC · Home18 Jul 2026 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.16 | −1.81 |
| M17 | St. Louis City · Home23 Jul 2026 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.55 | −3.36 |
| M18 | San Jose Earthquakes · Away26 Jul 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.13 | −3.49 |
| M19 | FC Dallas · Home2 Aug 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.45 | −3.94 |
| M20 | Houston Dynamo · Away16 Aug 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.83 | −4.76 |
| M21 | San Jose Earthquakes · Home20 Aug 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.18 | −3.59 |
| M22 | CF Montreal · Away23 Aug 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.03 | −3.61 |
| M23 | San Diego FC · Away30 Aug 2026 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.93 | −4.55 |
| M24 | New England Revolution · Home6 Sep 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.62 | −2.93 |
| M25 | Vancouver Whitecaps · Away10 Sep 2026 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.40 | −3.33 |
| M26 | Seattle Sounders · Home13 Sep 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.50 | −3.84 |
| M27 | Minnesota United · Away20 Sep 2026 | W 3-2 | 3 | +2.11 | −1.72 |
| M28 | Colorado Rapids · Home27 Sep 2026 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.41 | −0.32 |
| M29 | St. Louis City · Away12 Oct 2026 | L 2-6 | 0 | −0.70 | −1.02 |
| M30 | Portland Timbers · Home15 Oct 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.43 | +0.41 |
| M31 | San Diego FC · Home18 Oct 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.49 | −0.09 |
| Total | 40 | −0.09 | |||