← MLS 2026

Minnesota United

Season 2026 · 30 matches played

Last 5LLDDW

Points

34

Points expected by the market

41.28

Gap

−7.28

Yield

−22.0%

Market film

Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below

The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.

M1M5M10M15M20M25M30

Performance by odds

Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.

Odds bandMatches playedMPPointsPtsExpectedGapYield
Heavy favourite under 1.50 0 — — — —
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 12 11 21.02 −10.02 −67.3%
Even 2.20 – 3.49 11 12 13.83 −1.83 −25.5%
Underdog 3.50 or more 7 11 6.43 +4.57 +61.1%

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.

Match by match

MOpponentDateResultRes. Odds to winExpectedPointsPtsGap Running total€1 bet
M1 Austin FC · Away22 Feb 2026 22 Feb 2026 D 2-2 3.03 1.21 1 −0.21 −0.21 −€1.00
M2 FC Cincinnati · Home28 Feb 2026 28 Feb 2026 W 1-0 2.19 1.54 3 +1.46 +1.26 +€1.19
M3 Nashville SC · Away8 Mar 2026 8 Mar 2026 L 1-3 4.63 0.83 0 −0.83 +0.42 −€1.00
M4 Vancouver Whitecaps · Away15 Mar 2026 15 Mar 2026 L 0-6 6.17 0.66 0 −0.66 −0.23 −€1.00
M5 Seattle Sounders · Home22 Mar 2026 22 Mar 2026 D 0-0 2.37 1.45 1 −0.45 −0.69 −€1.00
M6 Los Angeles Galaxy · Away5 Apr 2026 5 Apr 2026 W 2-1 3.50 1.04 3 +1.96 +1.27 +€2.50
M7 San Diego FC · Away12 Apr 2026 12 Apr 2026 W 2-1 3.71 1.00 3 +2.00 +3.28 +€2.71
M8 Portland Timbers · Home19 Apr 2026 19 Apr 2026 W 2-0 1.73 1.83 3 +1.17 +4.44 +€0.73
M9 FC Dallas · Away23 Apr 2026 23 Apr 2026 W 1-0 3.28 1.10 3 +1.90 +6.34 +€2.28
M10 Los Angeles FC · Home25 Apr 2026 25 Apr 2026 L 0-1 2.59 1.34 0 −1.34 +5.00 −€1.00
M11 Columbus Crew · Away3 May 2026 3 May 2026 W 3-2 4.07 0.92 3 +2.08 +7.08 +€3.07
M12 Austin FC · Home11 May 2026 11 May 2026 D 2-2 1.70 1.87 1 −0.87 +6.20 −€1.00
M13 Colorado Rapids · Home14 May 2026 14 May 2026 L 0-1 1.67 1.90 0 −1.90 +4.30 −€1.00
M14 New England Revolution · Away17 May 2026 17 May 2026 L 1-2 2.66 1.31 0 −1.31 +3.00 −€1.00
M15 Real Salt Lake · Home23 May 2026 23 May 2026 D 1-1 2.05 1.61 1 −0.61 +2.39 −€1.00
M16 Sporting Kansas City · Away23 Jul 2026 23 Jul 2026 L 1-2 2.12 1.56 0 −1.56 +0.83 −€1.00
M17 Vancouver Whitecaps · Home26 Jul 2026 26 Jul 2026 D 0-0 3.24 1.10 1 −0.10 +0.72 −€1.00
M18 San Diego FC · Home2 Aug 2026 2 Aug 2026 D 1-1 1.97 1.66 1 −0.66 +0.07 −€1.00
M19 Real Salt Lake · Away16 Aug 2026 16 Aug 2026 D 1-1 3.72 0.99 1 +0.01 +0.07 −€1.00
M20 Atlanta United · Home20 Aug 2026 20 Aug 2026 L 1-2 1.67 1.90 0 −1.90 −1.83 −€1.00
M21 San Jose Earthquakes · Away23 Aug 2026 23 Aug 2026 W 5-1 2.63 1.30 3 +1.70 −0.14 +€1.63
M22 Orlando City · Home30 Aug 2026 30 Aug 2026 D 3-3 1.77 1.80 1 −0.80 −0.94 −€1.00
M23 Portland Timbers · Away6 Sep 2026 6 Sep 2026 L 4-5 2.54 1.35 0 −1.35 −2.29 −€1.00
M24 FC Dallas · Home10 Sep 2026 10 Sep 2026 L 1-2 1.72 1.85 0 −1.85 −4.14 −€1.00
M25 St. Louis City · Away13 Sep 2026 13 Sep 2026 L 2-4 3.25 1.10 0 −1.10 −5.24 −€1.00
M26 Los Angeles Galaxy · Home20 Sep 2026 20 Sep 2026 L 2-3 1.66 1.89 0 −1.89 −7.13 −€1.00
M27 Seattle Sounders · Away27 Sep 2026 27 Sep 2026 L 1-3 3.40 1.10 0 −1.10 −8.24 −€1.00
M28 Houston Dynamo · Home11 Oct 2026 11 Oct 2026 D 2-2 2.08 1.60 1 −0.60 −8.84 −€1.00
M29 Colorado Rapids · Away15 Oct 2026 15 Oct 2026 D 2-2 3.75 0.99 1 +0.01 −8.82 −€1.00
M30 St. Louis City · Home17 Oct 2026 17 Oct 2026 W 3-2 2.29 1.46 3 +1.54 −7.28 +€1.29
Total 41.28 34 −7.28 −€6.60