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New England Revolution

Season 2026 · 30 matches played

Last 5WLLWW

Points

52

Points expected by the market

39.50

Gap

+12.50

Yield

+30.3%

Market film

Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below

The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.

M1M5M10M15M20M25M30

Performance by odds

Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.

Odds bandMatches playedMPPointsPtsExpectedGapYield
Heavy favourite under 1.50 0 — — — —
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 8 17 13.17 +3.83 +23.3%
Even 2.20 – 3.49 17 34 22.00 +12.00 +71.9%
Underdog 3.50 or more 5 1 4.33 −3.33 −100.0%

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.

Match by match

MOpponentDateResultRes. Odds to winExpectedPointsPtsGap Running total€1 bet
M1 Nashville SC · Away22 Feb 2026 22 Feb 2026 L 1-4 5.54 0.72 0 −0.72 −0.72 −€1.00
M2 New York Red Bulls · Away28 Feb 2026 28 Feb 2026 L 0-1 3.92 0.96 0 −0.96 −1.68 −€1.00
M3 FC Cincinnati · Home15 Mar 2026 15 Mar 2026 W 6-1 2.29 1.49 3 +1.51 −0.17 +€1.29
M4 St. Louis City · Away22 Mar 2026 22 Mar 2026 L 1-3 3.69 1.01 0 −1.01 −1.18 −€1.00
M5 CF Montreal · Home4 Apr 2026 4 Apr 2026 W 3-0 1.89 1.73 3 +1.27 +0.09 +€0.89
M6 DC United · Home12 Apr 2026 12 Apr 2026 W 1-0 1.94 1.71 3 +1.29 +1.38 +€0.94
M7 Columbus Crew · Home19 Apr 2026 19 Apr 2026 W 2-1 3.00 1.19 3 +1.81 +3.19 +€2.00
M8 Atlanta United · Away23 Apr 2026 23 Apr 2026 W 2-1 2.64 1.32 3 +1.68 +4.86 +€1.64
M9 Inter Miami · Away26 Apr 2026 26 Apr 2026 D 1-1 6.02 0.65 1 +0.35 +5.21 −€1.00
M10 Charlotte · Home3 May 2026 3 May 2026 W 1-0 2.13 1.56 3 +1.44 +6.65 +€1.13
M11 Philadelphia Union · Home10 May 2026 10 May 2026 W 2-1 2.52 1.38 3 +1.62 +8.27 +€1.52
M12 Nashville SC · Home14 May 2026 14 May 2026 L 0-3 2.77 1.28 0 −1.28 +6.99 −€1.00
M13 Minnesota United · Home17 May 2026 17 May 2026 W 2-1 2.39 1.43 3 +1.57 +8.57 +€1.39
M14 Charlotte · Away24 May 2026 24 May 2026 L 0-1 3.78 0.98 0 −0.98 +7.58 −€1.00
M15 Toronto FC · Home23 Jul 2026 23 Jul 2026 D 0-0 1.93 1.69 1 −0.69 +6.89 −€1.00
M16 Atlanta United · Home26 Jul 2026 26 Jul 2026 W 4-1 2.14 1.56 3 +1.44 +8.33 +€1.14
M17 CF Montreal · Away2 Aug 2026 2 Aug 2026 D 2-2 3.18 1.13 1 −0.13 +8.20 −€1.00
M18 Houston Dynamo · Home8 Aug 2026 8 Aug 2026 L 0-2 2.43 1.40 0 −1.40 +6.80 −€1.00
M19 Toronto FC · Away16 Aug 2026 16 Aug 2026 L 1-2 2.99 1.19 0 −1.19 +5.60 −€1.00
M20 DC United · Away20 Aug 2026 20 Aug 2026 W 3-0 2.56 1.35 3 +1.65 +7.26 +€1.56
M21 New York City · Home23 Aug 2026 23 Aug 2026 D 1-1 2.14 1.56 1 −0.56 +6.70 −€1.00
M22 Columbus Crew · Away30 Aug 2026 30 Aug 2026 W 3-1 2.86 1.23 3 +1.77 +8.47 +€1.86
M23 Los Angeles Galaxy · Away6 Sep 2026 6 Sep 2026 L 1-2 2.48 1.37 0 −1.37 +7.10 −€1.00
M24 New York City · Away10 Sep 2026 10 Sep 2026 W 2-1 2.48 1.39 3 +1.61 +8.72 +€1.48
M25 Chicago Fire · Away13 Sep 2026 13 Sep 2026 W 2-1 3.28 1.08 3 +1.92 +10.63 +€2.28
M26 Orlando City · Home20 Sep 2026 20 Sep 2026 W 4-2 1.76 1.79 3 +1.21 +11.84 +€0.76
M27 Real Salt Lake · Away27 Sep 2026 27 Sep 2026 L 0-3 3.20 1.15 0 −1.15 +10.68 −€1.00
M28 Seattle Sounders · Home11 Oct 2026 11 Oct 2026 L 0-3 2.11 1.57 0 −1.57 +9.12 −€1.00
M29 FC Cincinnati · Away15 Oct 2026 15 Oct 2026 W 3-2 2.74 1.24 3 +1.76 +10.87 +€1.74
M30 Chicago Fire · Home18 Oct 2026 18 Oct 2026 W 1-0 2.47 1.37 3 +1.63 +12.50 +€1.47
Total 39.50 52 +12.50 +€9.09