Points
34Points expected by the market
41.79Gap
−7.79Yield
−34.0%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.89 | +47.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 8 | 6 | −8.47 | −80.1% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 17 | 25 | +3.22 | −1.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 0 | −3.44 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.89 | +47.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 8 | 6 | −8.47 | −80.1% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 8 | +0.03 | −21.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 11 | 17 | +3.19 | +9.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 0 | −3.44 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Los Angeles Galaxy · Away23 Feb 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.19 | −0.19 |
| M2 | Philadelphia Union · Away1 Mar 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.85 | +1.66 |
| M3 | Orlando City · Home7 Mar 2026 | W 5-0 | 3 | +1.02 | +2.68 |
| M4 | Colorado Rapids · Home14 Mar 2026 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.89 | +3.57 |
| M5 | Inter Miami · Home22 Mar 2026 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.54 | +2.03 |
| M6 | St. Louis City · Home5 Apr 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.86 | +1.17 |
| M7 | Vancouver Whitecaps · Away12 Apr 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.75 | +0.41 |
| M8 | Charlotte · Home19 Apr 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.82 | −1.41 |
| M9 | FC Cincinnati · Home23 Apr 2026 | D 4-4 | 1 | −0.78 | −2.18 |
| M10 | CF Montreal · Away25 Apr 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.47 | −3.65 |
| M11 | DC United · Home3 May 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.83 | −5.48 |
| M12 | Columbus Crew · Home10 May 2026 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.58 | −3.90 |
| M13 | Charlotte · Away14 May 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.66 | −2.25 |
| M14 | New York Red Bulls · Away17 May 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.42 | −2.67 |
| M15 | Nashville SC · Away24 May 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.98 | −3.65 |
| M16 | Columbus Crew · Away23 Jul 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.82 | −1.84 |
| M17 | Chicago Fire · Home26 Jul 2026 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.57 | −0.27 |
| M18 | Toronto FC · Home1 Aug 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.91 | −1.18 |
| M19 | Philadelphia Union · Home16 Aug 2026 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.29 | −2.47 |
| M20 | FC Cincinnati · Away20 Aug 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.03 | −3.50 |
| M21 | New England Revolution · Away23 Aug 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.18 | −3.68 |
| M22 | Toronto FC · Away30 Aug 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.35 | −4.03 |
| M23 | Nashville SC · Home5 Sep 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.19 | −4.23 |
| M24 | New England Revolution · Home10 Sep 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.35 | −5.58 |
| M25 | Real Salt Lake · Away13 Sep 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.86 | −3.71 |
| M26 | New York Red Bulls · Home19 Sep 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.76 | −5.47 |
| M27 | Atlanta United · Away27 Sep 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.34 | −5.81 |
| M28 | Chicago Fire · Away10 Oct 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.98 | −6.79 |
| M29 | Inter Miami · Away15 Oct 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.72 | −7.51 |
| M30 | Los Angeles FC · Home18 Oct 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.28 | −7.79 |
| Total | 34 | −7.79 | |||