Points
36Points expected by the market
37.80Gap
−1.80Yield
+0.4%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 7 | 10 | −2.21 | −16.1% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 13 | 12 | −4.96 | −43.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 10 | 14 | +5.37 | +69.5% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | 7 | −3.69 | −38.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 11 | +0.25 | −8.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 0 | −0.97 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.48 | +115.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 5 | 1 | −5.21 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 9 | 14 | +6.34 | +88.3% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Orlando City · Away22 Feb 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.04 | +2.04 |
| M2 | New England Revolution · Home28 Feb 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.21 | +3.25 |
| M3 | CF Montreal · Home8 Mar 2026 | L 0-3 | 0 | −2.02 | +1.23 |
| M4 | Toronto FC · Away14 Mar 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.15 | +1.09 |
| M5 | Charlotte · Away21 Mar 2026 | L 1-6 | 0 | −1.10 | −0.01 |
| M6 | FC Cincinnati · Home5 Apr 2026 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.30 | +1.30 |
| M7 | Inter Miami · Away12 Apr 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.36 | +1.66 |
| M8 | CF Montreal · Away18 Apr 2026 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.44 | +0.22 |
| M9 | DC United · Home23 Apr 2026 | D 4-4 | 1 | −0.77 | −0.55 |
| M10 | FC Cincinnati · Away26 Apr 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.90 | −1.45 |
| M11 | FC Dallas · Home3 May 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.41 | −2.87 |
| M12 | Chicago Fire · Away9 May 2026 | W 3-1 | 3 | +2.29 | −0.57 |
| M13 | Columbus Crew · Home14 May 2026 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.68 | +1.10 |
| M14 | New York City · Home17 May 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.32 | +0.78 |
| M15 | Sporting Kansas City · Away24 May 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.48 | +2.26 |
| M16 | Philadelphia Union · Away23 Jul 2026 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.91 | +1.35 |
| M17 | Charlotte · Home25 Jul 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.52 | −0.17 |
| M18 | Orlando City · Home2 Aug 2026 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.59 | +1.41 |
| M19 | Atlanta United · Away16 Aug 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.16 | +0.25 |
| M20 | Nashville SC · Home20 Aug 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.33 | −1.07 |
| M21 | Chicago Fire · Home23 Aug 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.39 | −1.46 |
| M22 | Philadelphia Union · Home30 Aug 2026 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.15 | −2.61 |
| M23 | Seattle Sounders · Away6 Sep 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.02 | −2.59 |
| M24 | Los Angeles FC · Away10 Sep 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.64 | −3.24 |
| M25 | Columbus Crew · Away13 Sep 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.07 | −1.16 |
| M26 | New York City · Away19 Sep 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.00 | +0.84 |
| M27 | St. Louis City · Home1 Oct 2026 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.97 | −0.13 |
| M28 | San Diego FC · Home11 Oct 2026 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.59 | +1.45 |
| M29 | DC United · Away15 Oct 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.37 | +0.09 |
| M30 | Toronto FC · Home18 Oct 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.89 | −1.80 |
| Total | 36 | −1.80 | |||