Points
41Points expected by the market
35.98Gap
+5.02Yield
+14.8%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 8 | 19 | +5.35 | +42.4% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 14 | +1.18 | +7.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 12 | 8 | −1.51 | +2.3% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 8 | 19 | +5.35 | +42.4% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 10 | +2.05 | +30.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 0 | −0.96 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 4 | 4 | −0.87 | −26.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 11 | 8 | −0.55 | +11.6% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | New York Red Bulls · Home22 Feb 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.80 | −1.80 |
| M2 | Inter Miami · Home2 Mar 2026 | L 2-4 | 0 | −0.96 | −2.76 |
| M3 | New York City · Away7 Mar 2026 | L 0-5 | 0 | −0.80 | −3.55 |
| M4 | CF Montreal · Home14 Mar 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.23 | −2.32 |
| M5 | Nashville SC · Away21 Mar 2026 | L 0-5 | 0 | −0.67 | −2.99 |
| M6 | Los Angeles FC · Away5 Apr 2026 | L 0-6 | 0 | −0.49 | −3.48 |
| M7 | Columbus Crew · Away13 Apr 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.37 | −3.11 |
| M8 | Houston Dynamo · Home19 Apr 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.31 | −4.42 |
| M9 | Charlotte · Home23 Apr 2026 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.82 | −2.60 |
| M10 | DC United · Away26 Apr 2026 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.91 | −3.51 |
| M11 | Inter Miami · Away3 May 2026 | W 4-3 | 3 | +2.50 | −1.01 |
| M12 | CF Montreal · Away9 May 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.07 | −2.07 |
| M13 | Philadelphia Union · Home14 May 2026 | W 4-3 | 3 | +1.55 | −0.53 |
| M14 | Atlanta United · Home17 May 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.59 | −1.12 |
| M15 | FC Cincinnati · Away24 May 2026 | L 2-6 | 0 | −0.94 | −2.05 |
| M16 | San Jose Earthquakes · Away23 Jul 2026 | W 4-0 | 3 | +2.13 | +0.08 |
| M17 | Nashville SC · Home26 Jul 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.66 | +1.74 |
| M18 | New York Red Bulls · Away2 Aug 2026 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.35 | +0.39 |
| M19 | FC Cincinnati · Home16 Aug 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.35 | +0.03 |
| M20 | Chicago Fire · Home20 Aug 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.31 | −1.28 |
| M21 | Real Salt Lake · Home23 Aug 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.19 | −0.09 |
| M22 | Minnesota United · Away30 Aug 2026 | D 3-3 | 1 | +0.04 | −0.05 |
| M23 | San Diego FC · Home6 Sep 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.48 | +1.43 |
| M24 | Atlanta United · Away10 Sep 2026 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.81 | +3.24 |
| M25 | Toronto FC · Home13 Sep 2026 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.24 | +4.48 |
| M26 | New England Revolution · Away20 Sep 2026 | L 2-4 | 0 | −0.99 | +3.50 |
| M27 | Philadelphia Union · Away27 Sep 2026 | L 2-4 | 0 | −0.81 | +2.68 |
| M28 | Columbus Crew · Home11 Oct 2026 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.49 | +4.18 |
| M29 | Toronto FC · Away15 Oct 2026 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.26 | +3.92 |
| M30 | DC United · Home18 Oct 2026 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.10 | +5.02 |
| Total | 41 | +5.02 | |||